H
Haukar
Home
W
W
D
W
L
7W 2D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
8:15 pm
—
N/A
T
Throttur Vogar
Away
W
L
W
L
L
3W 1D 6L
▲ Improving
Haukar
50%
Draw
30%
Throttur Vogar
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
75.2%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-25.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Haukar to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
Competition: Iceland Division 2
Date: Friday, 17th July 2026
KO: 8:15 pm
Pick: 1 (Haukar to win)
Odds: 1.33
Confidence: 50%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Haukar
0
Draws
8
Throttur Vogar
11
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
73%
BTTS
82%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Haukar won 3 of the last 11 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Haukar
Metric
Throttur Vogar
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
H0
0-0
2.2%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
2.5%
0-3
1.3%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
H1
1-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
H2
2-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
H3
3-0
4.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
5.1%
3-3
2.6%
3-4
1.0%
3-5
0.3%
H4
4-0
2.6%
4-1
3.9%
4-2
2.9%
4-3
1.5%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
H5
5-0
1.2%
5-1
1.8%
5-2
1.4%
5-3
0.7%
5-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
2-1(8.9%)
3-1(6.8%)
2-0(5.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ T=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Haukar Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Throttur Vogar Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
40%
Home Win & BTTS No
21%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Away Win & BTTS No
9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
43%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
9%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar3
Haukar0
Haukar3
Throttur Vogar5
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar1
Haukar4
Throttur Vogar1
Haukar1
Throttur Vogar2
Throttur Vogar4
Haukar1
Haukar3
Throttur Vogar2
Throttur Vogar1
Haukar2
Recent Form
Haukar
Magni2
Haukar5
Haukar4
Kari1
Selfoss2
Haukar2
Haukar1
Olafsvik0
Dalvik/Reynir3
Haukar0
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot2
Hviti0
Haukar2
Haukar3
KFA2
KFG Gardabaer0
Haukar4
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar5
KFG Gardabaer1
Magni4
Throttur Vogar3
Throttur Vogar3
Fjolnir2
Throttur Vogar1
Kari4
Selfoss3
Throttur Vogar1
Throttur Vogar1
Olafsvik2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Throttur Vogar0
Throttur Vogar1
Kormakur/Hvot1
Hviti2
Throttur Vogar0
Throttur Vogar2
KFA0
Haukar (Home)
Haukar4
Kari1
Haukar1
Olafsvik0
Haukar2
Kormakur/Hvot2
Haukar3
KFA2
Haukar3
Fjolnir1
Haukar6
Magni1
Haukar3
KFR0
Haukar0
Grotta6
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
Haukar0
Aegir4
Throttur Vogar (Away)
Magni4
Throttur Vogar3
Selfoss3
Throttur Vogar1
Dalvik/Reynir1
Throttur Vogar0
Hviti2
Throttur Vogar0
KFG Gardabaer3
Throttur Vogar1
Grotta2
Throttur Vogar0
Kormakur/Hvot0
Throttur Vogar2
Haukar0
Throttur Vogar1
Aegir1
Throttur Vogar2
KFG Gardabaer4
Throttur Vogar3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 17th July 2026, Haukar host Throttur Vogar at N/A in Iceland Division 2. We recommend Haukar to win as the standout selection.
Haukar arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Throttur Vogar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Haukar, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Throttur Vogar's 8, with 0 draws from 11 encounters. Both teams have scored in 73% of those meetings.
Our verdict: haukar to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Iceland Division 2 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.33, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 8:15 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?
Our selection is 1 — Haukar to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Haukar's current form?
Haukar have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Throttur Vogar been performing recently?
Throttur Vogar have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haukar lead with 3 wins versus Throttur Vogar's 8, with 0 draws across 11 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 73%.
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