WON Tip WON HJK W 3-2 Aland Utd W
H

HJK W

Home
W W W W D
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
A
Aland Utd W
Away
W L L L L
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 2nd April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HJK W vs Aland Utd W Competition: Finland Kansallilen Women Date: Thursday, 2nd April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 72% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
8
HJK W
2
Draws
0
Aland Utd W
10
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HJK W
Metric
Aland Utd W
2.7
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
8-2-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
1.9
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
H0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 13.6%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(20.2%) 0-0(15.0%) 2-0(13.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HJK W
Overall
8.6
Scoring
9.0
Defence
6.3
Aland Utd W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK2
21.09.25
CUP: HJK W3
Åland Utd1
06.09.25
KL: HJK W6
Åland Utd1
06.07.25
KL: HJK W9
Åland Utd1
03.05.25
KL: Åland Utd W0
HJK0
18.10.24
KL: HJK W3
Åland Utd0
02.10.24
KL: Åland Utd W1
HJK2
31.08.24
KL: Åland Utd W3
HJK6
08.06.24
KL: HJK W2
Åland Utd0
04.10.23
KL: Åland Utd W1
HJK2
Recent Form
HJK W
28.03.26
KL: VIFK W0
HJK W1
W
31.01.26
CF: AIK W3
HJK W4
W
18.10.25
KL: PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W2
W
12.10.25
KL: HJK W3
KuPS W2
W
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK W2
D
27.09.25
KL: HJK W3
VIFK W0
W
24.09.25
KL: HPS W1
HJK W1
D
21.09.25
CUP: HJK W3
Åland Utd W1
W
10.09.25
KL: HJK W2
PK-35 Vantaa W0
W
06.09.25
KL: HJK W6
Åland Utd W1
W
Aland Utd W
28.03.26
KL: Åland Utd W6
Gnistan W1
W
21.02.26
CF: Eskilstuna Utd W7
Åland Utd W2
L
14.02.26
CF: Uppsala W2
Åland Utd W0
L
30.01.26
CF: IF Brommapojkarna W4
Åland Utd W0
L
18.10.25
KL: HPS W2
Åland Utd W1
L
11.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W3
PK-35 Vantaa W1
W
07.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W6
HPS W2
W
03.10.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
HJK W2
D
27.09.25
KL: KuPS W2
Åland Utd W1
L
24.09.25
KL: Åland Utd W2
VIFK W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 2nd April 2026, HJK W host Aland Utd W in Finland Kansallilen Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

HJK W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Aland Utd W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour HJK W, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Aland Utd W's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Finland Kansallilen Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HJK W vs Aland Utd W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is HJK W's current form?
HJK W have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aland Utd W been performing recently?
Aland Utd W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJK W lead with 8 wins versus Aland Utd W's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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