Strong Signal 69% Confidence
I

Ind. del Valle

Home
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
10:30 pm
Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)
T
Tecnico U
Away
L L L W W
4W 0D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 22nd July 2026
1
Backing Ind. del Valle to win
Ind. del Valle 60%
Draw 20%
Tecnico U 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 86.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ind. del Valle to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U Competition: Ecuador Liga Pro Date: Wednesday, 22nd July 2026 KO: 10:30 pm Pick: 1 (Ind. del Valle to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 69% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Ind. del Valle
3
Draws
1
Tecnico U
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ind. del Valle won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ind. del Valle
Metric
Tecnico U
3.3
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
90%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
I0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
I1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
I2
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 7.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 4.4%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 2.0%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.3%) 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ind. del Valle Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Tecnico U Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ind. del Valle
Overall
9.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
Tecnico U
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.03.26LP
Tecnico U.1
Ind. del Valle2
30.08.25LP
Ind. del Valle4
Tecnico U.0
11.05.25LP
Tecnico U.1
Ind. del Valle2
25.08.24LP
Ind. del Valle1
Tecnico U.0
21.03.24LP
Tecnico U.1
Ind. del Valle1
24.09.23LP
Tecnico U.2
Ind. del Valle2
22.04.23LP
Ind. del Valle1
Tecnico U.0
11.10.22LP
Ind. del Valle0
Tecnico U.1
15.05.22LP
Tecnico U.2
Ind. del Valle3
25.09.21LP
Ind. del Valle1
Tecnico U.1
Recent Form
Ind. del Valle
20.07.26LP
Ind. del Valle6
Emelec1
W
16.07.26LP
Aucas0
Ind. del Valle3
W
11.07.26LP
Mushuc Runa1
Ind. del Valle4
W
08.07.26COE
Dep. Santo Domingo0
Ind. del Valle2
W
04.07.26LP
Ind. del Valle4
Manta0
W
31.05.26LP
Guayaquil City2
Ind. del Valle4
W
27.05.26COP
Ind. del Valle1
Rosario Central0
W
23.05.26LP
Ind. del Valle2
Libertad3
L
20.05.26COP
Ind. del Valle4
Libertad Asuncion1
W
16.05.26LP
Macara0
Ind. del Valle3
W
Tecnico U
19.07.26LP
Tecnico U.0
Aucas1
L
15.07.26LP
Libertad1
Tecnico U.0
L
11.07.26LP
Tecnico U.0
Macara2
L
07.07.26LP
Orense1
Tecnico U.2
W
02.06.26LP
Tecnico U.1
Barcelona SC0
W
29.05.26COE
Juventud Italiana2
Tecnico U.0
L
24.05.26LP
Tecnico U.2
Leones del Norte1
W
15.05.26LP
LDU Quito2
Tecnico U.1
L
09.05.26LP
Tecnico U.4
Delfin0
W
02.05.26LP
Dep. Cuenca2
Tecnico U.1
L
Ind. del Valle (Home)
20.07.26LP
Ind. del Valle6
Emelec1
W
04.07.26LP
Ind. del Valle4
Manta0
W
27.05.26COP
Ind. del Valle1
Rosario Central0
W
23.05.26LP
Ind. del Valle2
Libertad3
L
20.05.26COP
Ind. del Valle4
Libertad Asuncion1
W
10.05.26LP
Ind. del Valle1
Barcelona SC0
W
25.04.26LP
Ind. del Valle2
Leones del Norte1
W
19.04.26LP
Ind. del Valle0
LDU Quito2
L
16.04.26COP
Ind. del Valle3
Universidad Central1
W
04.04.26LP
Ind. del Valle2
Orense0
W
Tecnico U (Away)
15.07.26LP
Libertad1
Tecnico U.0
L
07.07.26LP
Orense1
Tecnico U.2
W
29.05.26COE
Juventud Italiana2
Tecnico U.0
L
15.05.26LP
LDU Quito2
Tecnico U.1
L
02.05.26LP
Dep. Cuenca2
Tecnico U.1
L
26.04.26LP
Guayaquil City1
Tecnico U.0
L
18.04.26LP
Mushuc Runa1
Tecnico U.0
L
05.04.26LP
Manta0
Tecnico U.2
W
19.03.26LP
Aucas0
Tecnico U.1
W
08.03.26LP
Macara1
Tecnico U.1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 22nd July 2026, Ind. del Valle host Tecnico U at Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito) in Ecuador Liga Pro. We recommend Ind. del Valle to win as the standout selection.

Ind. del Valle arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tecnico U are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ind. del Valle, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Tecnico U's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ind. del valle to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Ecuador Liga Pro match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.16, sitting at roughly 60,20,20% in our model. The match gets going at 10:30 pm over at Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U?
Our selection is 1 — Ind. del Valle to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Ind. del Valle's current form?
Ind. del Valle have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tecnico U been performing recently?
Tecnico U have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ind. del Valle lead with 6 wins versus Tecnico U's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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