K
Kattaqurgon
Home
W
W
L
W
D
6W 3D 1L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
4:00 pm
โ
N/A
P
Pakhtakor II
Away
L
L
L
L
L
1W 0D 9L
โฒ Improving
Kattaqurgon
50%
Draw
30%
Pakhtakor II
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-28%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Kattaqurgon to win
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS โ No70%
Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet60%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
Competition: Uzbekistan Pro Liga
Date: Tuesday, 4th August 2026
KO: 4:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Kattaqurgon to win)
Odds: 1.22
Confidence: 54%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: BTTS โ No (70%)
Also: Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kattaqurgon
Metric
Pakhtakor II
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
2.7
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W โ D โ L
1-0-9
Win Rate
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0
7.8%
0-1
4.3%
0-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
K1
1-0
15.6%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
2.4%
1-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
K2
2-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
K3
3-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
K4
4-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.6%)
2-0(15.6%)
3-0(10.4%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals โ P=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kattaqurgon Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Pakhtakor II Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Home Win & BTTS No
50%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
3%
Away Win & BTTS No
8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
39%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Kattaqurgon
TerDU0
Kattaqurgon2
Kattaqurgon2
Yaypan1
Lochin2
Kattaqurgon0
Kattaqurgon3
FarDU0
Metallurg Bekabad1
Kattaqurgon1
Olimpik-Mobiuz0
Kattaqurgon0
Kattaqurgon1
BuxDu0
Respublika FA0
Kattaqurgon1
Kattaqurgon1
Aral1
Gazalkent0
Kattaqurgon2
Pakhtakor II
Pakhtakor II1
Olimpik-Mobiuz4
BuxDu2
Pakhtakor II0
Pakhtakor II0
Respublika FA3
Aral3
Pakhtakor II0
Pakhtakor II1
Gazalkent2
Pakhtakor II0
Yaypan1
Shortan Guzor2
Pakhtakor II0
Pakhtakor II0
Jayxun3
Pakhtakor II0
Metallurg Bekabad5
TerDU2
Pakhtakor II4
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Kattaqurgon host Pakhtakor II at N/A in Uzbekistan Pro Liga. We recommend Kattaqurgon to win as the standout selection.
Kattaqurgon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Pakhtakor II are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: kattaqurgon to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Uzbekistan Pro Liga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.22, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II?
Our selection is 1 โ Kattaqurgon to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kattaqurgon's current form?
Kattaqurgon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pakhtakor II been performing recently?
Pakhtakor II have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
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