LOST Tip LOST KUPS 0-0 VPS
K

KUPS

Home
D W W W D
5W 4D 1L → Steady
VS
0-0
V
VPS
Away
L W W D W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 10th June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +3.7% Value detected
Kelly % 19.8% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
KUPS
1
Draws
3
VPS
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KUPS
Metric
VPS
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
50%
60%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
K0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 9.9%
0-2 8.9%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.4%
0-5 0.9%
K1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
K2
2-0 3.3%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
K3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
K4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.9%) 0-1(9.9%) 1-2(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KUPS
Overall
6.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
VPS
Overall
6.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.01.26LC
KuPS3
VPS1
19.07.25VEI
VPS1
KuPS1
25.05.25VEI
KuPS0
VPS2
01.02.25LC
KuPS2
VPS0
14.09.24VEI
KuPS3
VPS1
22.05.24VEI
VPS1
KuPS3
10.05.24VEI
KuPS2
VPS1
08.02.24LC
KuPS5
VPS0
17.09.23VEI
KuPS0
VPS2
08.07.23VEI
KuPS0
VPS1
Recent Form
KUPS
30.05.26VEI
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
D
26.05.26CUP
JaPS0
KuPS1
W
23.05.26VEI
KuPS2
Lahti1
W
20.05.26VEI
KuPS3
Jaro0
W
16.05.26VEI
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
D
12.05.26CUP
PK-350
KuPS2
W
08.05.26VEI
KuPS0
SJK0
D
02.05.26VEI
AC Oulu2
KuPS0
L
26.04.26VEI
KuPS1
HJK1
D
22.04.26VEI
KuPS3
AC Oulu2
W
VPS
30.05.26VEI
TPS1
VPS0
L
26.05.26CUP
VPS4
Haka0
W
22.05.26VEI
VPS2
HJK1
W
18.05.26VEI
Lahti1
VPS1
D
13.05.26CUP
VPS7
Abo0
W
09.05.26VEI
VPS1
Gnistan1
D
02.05.26VEI
Mariehamn0
VPS1
W
29.04.26CUP
FC Leki1
VPS9
W
24.04.26VEI
VPS3
Ilves2
W
18.04.26VEI
AC Oulu1
VPS0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, KUPS host VPS in Finland Suomen Cup. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

KUPS arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

VPS are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KUPS, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to VPS's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Finland Suomen Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.23. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KUPS vs VPS?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is KUPS's current form?
KUPS have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has VPS been performing recently?
VPS have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KUPS lead with 6 wins versus VPS's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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