L
Lanus 2
Home
D
L
W
W
W
5W 2D 3L
▼ Declining
VS
—
9:00 pm
—
N/A
B
Banfield 2
Away
L
L
W
D
L
2W 2D 6L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-2.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Lanus 2
2
Draws
4
Banfield 2
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lanus 2
Metric
Banfield 2
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0
6.4%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
4.2%
0-3
1.6%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
L1
1-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
L2
2-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
L3
3-0
4.4%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
L4
4-0
1.8%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
L5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(11.8%)
1-0(10.2%)
2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
31%
Home Win & BTTS No
25%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
31%
Home Win & Under 2.5
25%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
12%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Banfield 21
Lanus 20
Banfield 21
Lanus 22
Lanus 22
Banfield 22
Banfield 21
Lanus 20
Lanus 22
Banfield 21
Lanus 21
Banfield 22
Lanus 21
Banfield 20
Banfield 20
Lanus 21
Lanus 20
Banfield 22
Lanus 21
Banfield 2 (3-1)1
Recent Form
Lanus 2
Lanus 23
Ind. Rivadavia 23
Deportivo Riestra 24
Lanus 21
Lanus 23
Belgrano 21
Colon Santa Fe 20
Lanus 22
Newells Old Boys 21
Lanus 22
Lanus 23
Defensa y Justicia 21
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20
Lanus 20
Lanus 21
Huracan 20
Ferro 22
Lanus 21
River Plate 23
Lanus 21
Banfield 2
Godoy Cruz 23
Banfield 20
Banfield 21
Gimnasia Mendoza 22
Barracas Central 20
Banfield 22
Banfield 21
Talleres Cordoba 21
Banfield 22
Instituto 23
Rosario Central 21
Banfield 20
Banfield 21
Tigre 21
Banfield 21
Velez Sarsfield 20
San Lorenzo 23
Banfield 20
Banfield 20
River Plate 21
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Reserve League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.20, sitting at roughly 81% in our model. The match gets going at 9:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lanus 2 vs Banfield 2?
Our selection is 1X — Lanus 2 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Lanus 2's current form?
Lanus 2 have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Banfield 2 been performing recently?
Banfield 2 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lanus 2 lead with 4 wins versus Banfield 2's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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