WON Tip WON Larne 2-0 Cliftonville
L

Larne

Home
W W W W D
3W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
C
Cliftonville
Away
D L L W W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 28th March 2026
1
Backing Larne to win
Larne 50%
Draw 20%
Cliftonville 30%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 3.33
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Larne to win
1.34
BTTS — No68%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Larne vs Cliftonville Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Larne to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 53% Also: BTTS — No (68%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Larne
3
Draws
1
Cliftonville
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Larne won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Larne
Metric
Cliftonville
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-2-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
50%
50%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Larne Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Cliftonville Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Larne
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.2
Defence
8.3
Cliftonville
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.12.25
NIFL: Larne0
Cliftonville0
18.10.25
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
19.08.25
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne1
14.01.25
CUP: Larne0
Cliftonville1
10.01.25
NIFL: Larne2
Cliftonville0
01.12.24
NIFL: Larne1
Cliftonville1
27.09.24
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne3
05.07.24
CHA: Larne2
Cliftonville1
13.04.24
NIFL: Larne8
Cliftonville1
02.04.24
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
Recent Form
Larne
30.12.25
NIFL: Larne0
Cliftonville0
18.10.25
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
19.08.25
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne1
14.01.25
CUP: Larne0
Cliftonville1
10.01.25
NIFL: Larne2
Cliftonville0
13.04.24
NIFL: Larne8
Cliftonville1
Cliftonville
21.03.26
NIFL: Cliftonville2
Ballymena2
D
18.03.26
NIFL: Glentoran3
Cliftonville0
L
14.03.26
NIFL: Coleraine1
Cliftonville0
L
10.03.26
NIFL: Crusaders0
Cliftonville1
W
07.03.26
CUP: Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
W
04.03.26
NIFL: Portadown0
Cliftonville2
W
01.03.26
NIFL: Cliftonville2
Linfield0
W
24.02.26
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Glentoran4
L
21.02.26
NIFL: Cliftonville5
Crusaders2
W
13.02.26
NIFL: Dungannon Swifts3
Cliftonville2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Larne host Cliftonville in NIFL Premiership. We recommend Larne to win as the standout selection.

Larne arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 6 outings.

Cliftonville are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Larne, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Cliftonville's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: larne to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming NIFL Premiership match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.34. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Larne vs Cliftonville?
Our selection is 1 — Larne to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Larne's current form?
Larne have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches.
How has Cliftonville been performing recently?
Cliftonville have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Larne lead with 6 wins versus Cliftonville's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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