WON Tip WON Legia II 3-0 Plock II
L

Legia II

Home
W D W W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
P
Plock II
Away
W L W D W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 15th April 2026
1
Backing Legia II to win
Legia II 50%
Draw 30%
Plock II 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Legia II to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Legia II vs Plock II Competition: Poland III Liga Date: Wednesday, 15th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Legia II to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Legia II
0
Draws
0
Plock II
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Legia II won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Legia II
Metric
Plock II
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
80%
60%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
L0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(8.5%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Legia II Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Plock II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Legia II
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Plock II
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.09.25III Liga
Plock II1
Legia II2
11.05.25III Liga
Plock II0
Legia II3
30.10.24III Liga
Legia II3
Plock II2
27.01.22Club Friendly
Legia II2
Plock II0
Recent Form
Legia II
12.04.26III Liga
Olimpia Elblag1
Legia II2
W
04.04.26III Liga
Legia II1
Warta Sieradz1
D
22.03.26III Liga
Jagiellonia II0
Legia II1
W
14.03.26III Liga
Legia II4
Wasilkow1
W
07.03.26III Liga
Legia II2
GKS Belchatow0
W
01.03.26III Liga
Swit Mazowiecki0
Legia II1
W
21.02.26Club Friendly
Legia II3
Skra1
W
14.02.26Club Friendly
Legia II2
Zawisza1
W
07.02.26Club Friendly
Warta Poznan3
Legia II1
L
24.01.26Club Friendly
Legia II2
Cracovia II1
W
Plock II
11.04.26III Liga
Zabki0
Plock II1
W
03.04.26III Liga
Plock II0
Jagiellonia II4
L
25.03.26III Liga
Biala Piska1
Plock II2
W
21.03.26III Liga
Plock II2
Suwalki2
D
14.03.26III Liga
LKS Lomza1
Plock II2
W
07.03.26III Liga
Plock II2
Mlawa1
W
28.02.26III Liga
Plock II0
Bron Radom0
D
31.01.26Club Friendly
Elana Torun2
Plock II2
D
22.11.25III Liga
Plock II2
Troszyn1
W
15.11.25III Liga
GKS Belchatow3
Plock II4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th April 2026, Legia II host Plock II in Poland III Liga. We recommend Legia II to win as the standout selection.

Legia II arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Plock II are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Legia II, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Plock II's 0, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: legia ii to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Poland III Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Legia II vs Plock II?
Our selection is 1 — Legia II to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Legia II's current form?
Legia II have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Plock II been performing recently?
Plock II have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Legia II lead with 4 wins versus Plock II's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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