WON Tip WON Levadia 7-0 Narva
L

Levadia

Home
W W D W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
7-0
N
Narva
Away
L L L W L
3W 1D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 26th April 2026
1
Backing Levadia to win
Levadia 50%
Draw 30%
Narva 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Levadia to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levadia vs Narva Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Sunday, 26th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Levadia to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Levadia
2
Draws
1
Narva
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levadia won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levadia
Metric
Narva
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
2.4
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
L0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
L2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 5.7%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(7.6%) 3-1(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levadia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Narva Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Levadia
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.7
Narva
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.01.26CF
Levadia0
Narva0
02.11.25ML
Narva0
Levadia4
29.08.25ML
Levadia3
Narva1
27.06.25ML
Levadia2
Narva1
14.05.25CUP
Levadia1
Narva0
05.04.25ML
Narva0
Levadia1
22.01.25CF
Narva3
Levadia0
05.10.24ML
Narva0
Levadia2
02.10.24ML
Levadia0
Narva0
29.06.24ML
Narva1
Levadia2
Recent Form
Levadia
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
W
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
08.04.26ML
Levadia2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
04.04.26ML
Levadia1
Nomme Utd1
D
22.03.26ML
Levadia2
Paide2
D
15.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Levadia3
W
08.03.26ML
Levadia2
Kuressaare0
W
14.02.26CF
Flora1
Levadia0
L
08.02.26CF
Levadia4
Tammeka2
W
Narva
22.04.26ML
Flora6
Narva0
L
18.04.26ML
Narva1
Kuressaare2
L
11.04.26ML
Nomme Utd5
Narva1
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
W
03.04.26ML
Kalju2
Narva1
L
21.03.26ML
Narva2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
15.03.26ML
Paide1
Narva0
L
11.03.26CUP
Narva4
Viimsi JK3
W
07.03.26ML
Narva1
Harju JK Laagri2
L
25.02.26CF
Narva2
Tartu Welco2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 26th April 2026, Levadia host Narva in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Levadia to win as the standout selection.

Levadia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Narva are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levadia, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Narva's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levadia to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.19. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levadia vs Narva?
Our selection is 1 — Levadia to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Levadia's current form?
Levadia have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Narva been performing recently?
Narva have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levadia lead with 7 wins versus Narva's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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