L
Levski Sofia
Home
D
W
D
W
W
3W 4D 3L
▼ Declining
VS
—
6:30 pm
—
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)
B
Borac Banja Luka
Away
D
L
D
W
W
6W 3D 1L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-1.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.28
Under 2.5 Goals75%
BTTS — No70%
Borac Banja Luka Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka
Competition: UCL Qualifiers
Date: Tuesday, 14th July 2026
KO: 6:30 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.28
Confidence: 77%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Also: Borac Banja Luka Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Levski Sofia
1
Draws
0
Borac Banja Luka
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levski Sofia
Metric
Borac Banja Luka
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.5
40%
Clean Sheets
70%
3-4-3
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0
9.5%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
6.9%
0-3
2.8%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
L1
1-0
11.0%
1-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.2%
L2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
L3
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
L4
4-0
0.7%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
L5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(13.2%)
0-1(11.4%)
1-0(11.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
14%
Away Win & BTTS No
34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
6%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
21%
Away Win & Over 2.5
12%
Away Win & Under 2.5
36%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
Recent Form
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
Levski Sofia5
Radnik0
Levski Sofia1
Botev Vratsa1
Levski Sofia6
Etar0
Levski Sofia4
Akademik Svishtov0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Levski Sofia0
Levski Sofia2
CSKA Sofia0
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia1
Levski Sofia0
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia1
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
Akhmat Grozny3
Borac Banja Luka1
Borac Banja Luka1
IMT Novi Beograd1
Borac Banja Luka1
Sutjeska0
Jedinstvo0
Borac Banja Luka8
Borac Banja Luka2
Posusje0
Radnik Bijeljina0
Borac Banja Luka0
Borac Banja Luka1
Zeljeznicar0
Siroki Brijeg0
Borac Banja Luka1
FK Sarajevo0
Borac Banja Luka1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 14th July 2026, Levski Sofia host Borac Banja Luka at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.
Levski Sofia arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Borac Banja Luka are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Levski Sofia, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Borac Banja Luka's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this UCL Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 6:30 pm over at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Levski Sofia's current form?
Levski Sofia have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Borac Banja Luka been performing recently?
Borac Banja Luka have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levski Sofia lead with 0 wins versus Borac Banja Luka's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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