L
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Home
W
W
W
W
D
5W 3D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
—
11:00 am
N/A
K
Konoplev Academy U19
Away
W
W
L
D
W
5W 2D 3L
▼ Declining
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
50%
Draw
30%
Konoplev Academy U19
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-17.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19
Competition: Russia Youth League
Date: Friday, 10th July 2026
KO: 11:00 am
Pick: 1 (Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win)
Odds: 1.30
Confidence: 59%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
0
Draws
1
Konoplev Academy U19
7
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
71%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 won 6 of the last 7 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Metric
Konoplev Academy U19
2.5
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
L0
0-0
1.6%
0-1
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
0-3
2.1%
0-4
1.1%
0-5
0.4%
L1
1-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
L2
2-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
2-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
2-5
1.0%
L3
3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
3-3
3.5%
3-4
1.7%
3-5
0.7%
L4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
2.8%
4-3
1.9%
4-4
0.9%
4-5
0.4%
L5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
1.2%
5-3
0.8%
5-4
0.4%
5-5
0.2%
Top Scores
2-1(7.3%)
3-1(5.2%)
3-2(5.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Konoplev Academy U19 Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Home Win & BTTS No
6%
Draw & BTTS Yes
17%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
8%
Draw & Over 2.5
16%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
32%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U190
Konoplev Academy U194
Konoplev Academy U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Lokomotiv Moscow U199
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U196
Konoplev Academy U190
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Recent Form
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Dynamo Makhachkala U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Rubin Kazan U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Ural U191
Zenit U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
FK Rostov U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Rodina Moscow U191
Chertanovo M. U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U19
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U196
Konoplev Academy U193
Chertanovo M. U190
Dynamo Makhachkala U193
Konoplev Academy U192
Konoplev Academy U191
CSKA Moscow U191
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
Ural U193
Konoplev Academy U191
Konoplev Academy U193
Dynamo Moscow U192
Zenit U193
Konoplev Academy U190
Konoplev Academy U191
Nizhny Novgorod U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 (Home)
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Ural U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Rodina Moscow U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Dynamo Moscow U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Almaz Antey U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Sochi U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U196
Baltika U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U190
Rubin Kazan U190
Konoplev Academy U19 (Away)
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U196
Dynamo Makhachkala U193
Konoplev Academy U192
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
Ural U193
Konoplev Academy U191
Zenit U193
Konoplev Academy U190
Krasnodar U194
Konoplev Academy U191
FK Rostov U190
Konoplev Academy U192
Akhmat Grozny U190
Konoplev Academy U191
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U193
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 10th July 2026, Lokomotiv Moscow U19 host Konoplev Academy U19 at N/A in Russia Youth League. We recommend Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win as the standout selection.
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Konoplev Academy U19 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Lokomotiv Moscow U19, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Konoplev Academy U19's 1, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.
Our verdict: lokomotiv moscow u19 to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Russia Youth League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 am over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19?
Our selection is 1 — Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Lokomotiv Moscow U19's current form?
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Konoplev Academy U19 been performing recently?
Konoplev Academy U19 have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 lead with 6 wins versus Konoplev Academy U19's 1, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
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