WON Tip WON Marica 0-0 Bonsucesso
M

Marica

Home
L W W W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
0-0
B
Bonsucesso
Away
W L L D W
3W 2D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 10th June 2026
1X
Backing Marica to win or draw
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.5% Value detected
Kelly % 31.2% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Marica to win or draw
1.17
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Marica vs Bonsucesso Competition: Brazil Carioca 2 Date: Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Marica to win or draw) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 90% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Marica
0
Draws
0
Bonsucesso
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Marica
Metric
Bonsucesso
1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 14.2%
0-2 6.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(15.0%) 1-0(14.2%) 1-1(13.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Marica
Overall
6.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Bonsucesso
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.11.20CAR2
Marica2
Bonsucesso0
Recent Form
Marica
07.06.26SD
Velo Clube3
Marica1
L
03.06.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Marica1
W
30.05.26SD
Marica1
Nova Iguacu0
W
27.05.26CAR2
Marica2
Olaria1
W
23.05.26SD
Sampaio Correa FE1
Marica1
D
20.05.26CAR2
America RJ0
Marica1
W
16.05.26SD
Marica1
Piracicaba2
L
13.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Sao Goncalo0
W
09.05.26SD
Marica0
Noroeste3
L
06.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Cabofriense0
W
Bonsucesso
30.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso4
Perolas Negras1
W
23.05.26CAR2
Americano2
Bonsucesso0
L
16.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Audax RJ1
L
09.05.26CAR2
Serrano FC0
Bonsucesso0
D
02.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso2
CEAC/Araruama1
W
29.04.26CAR2
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso0
L
06.12.25CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Serrano FC0
D
30.11.25CAR2
Serrano FC2
Bonsucesso1
L
22.11.25CAR2
Bonsucesso2
Duque de Caxias0
W
15.11.25CAR2
Duque de Caxias1
Bonsucesso0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, Marica host Bonsucesso in Brazil Carioca 2. We recommend Marica to win or draw as the standout selection.

Marica arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bonsucesso are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marica, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marica to win or draw at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Brazil Carioca 2 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.17. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marica vs Bonsucesso?
Our selection is 1X — Marica to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Marica's current form?
Marica have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bonsucesso been performing recently?
Bonsucesso have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Marica lead with 1 wins versus Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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