WON
Tip WON
Napoli 2-1 Lecce
N
Napoli
Home
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
2-1
L
Lecce
Away
W
L
L
W
W
3W 0D 2L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-52.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Napoli to win
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals100%
BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Napoli vs Lecce
Competition: Serie A
Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Napoli to win)
Odds: 1.40
Confidence: 19%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Napoli
1
Draws
0
Lecce
5
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Napoli won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Napoli
Metric
Lecce
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-1-2
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
N0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
5.6%
0-3
2.8%
0-4
1.1%
0-5
0.3%
N1
1-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
N2
2-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
N3
3-0
2.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
N4
4-0
1.1%
4-1
1.6%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
N5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(8.4%)
1-0(7.5%)
2-0(5.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
7%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
44%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
29%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
44%
Away Win & Under 2.5
11%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ SA (Oct 28, 2025): Lecce0
Napoli1
⚽ SA (May 3, 2025): Lecce0
Napoli1
⚽ SA (Oct 26, 2024): Napoli1
Lecce0
⚽ SA (May 26, 2024): Napoli0
Lecce0
⚽ SA (Sep 30, 2023): Lecce0
Napoli4
Recent Form
Napoli
⚽ SA (Mar 6, 2026): Napoli2
Torino1
⚽ SA (Feb 28, 2026): Verona1
Napoli2
⚽ SA (Feb 22, 2026): Atalanta2
Napoli1
⚽ SA (Feb 15, 2026): Napoli2
AS Roma2
⚽ COP (Feb 10, 2026): Napoli1
Como2
Lecce
⚽ SA (Mar 8, 2026): Lecce2
Cremonese1
⚽ SA (Feb 28, 2026): Como3
Lecce1
⚽ SA (Feb 21, 2026): Lecce0
Inter2
⚽ SA (Feb 16, 2026): Cagliari0
Lecce2
⚽ SA (Feb 8, 2026): Lecce2
Udinese1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Napoli host Lecce in Serie A. We recommend Napoli to win as the standout selection.
Napoli arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Lecce are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 0D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Napoli, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Lecce's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: napoli to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Napoli vs Lecce?
Our selection is 1 — Napoli to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 19%.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Lecce been performing recently?
Lecce have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Napoli lead with 4 wins versus Lecce's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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