WON
Tip WON
Navbahor Namangan 3-1 Gazalkent
N
Navbahor Namangan
Home
D
D
W
W
D
7W 3D 0L
▲ Improving
VS
3-1
3:00 pm
Markaziy Stadium (Namangan)
G
Gazalkent
Away
W
W
W
W
W
6W 2D 2L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-18.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Navbahor Namangan
Metric
Gazalkent
2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-3-0
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
N0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
5.1%
0-3
2.4%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
N1
1-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
N2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
2-4
1.0%
2-5
0.3%
N3
3-0
3.3%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
N4
4-0
1.3%
4-1
1.8%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
N5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(8.8%)
1-0(8.1%)
2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ G=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
23%
Home Win & Under 2.5
23%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
20%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Navbahor Namangan
Navbahor Namangan1
Pakhtakor1
OKMK2
Navbahor Namangan2
Navbahor Namangan3
Din. Samarkand2
Buxoro1
Navbahor Namangan4
Navbahor Namangan1
Lok. Tashkent1
Navbahor Namangan1
Nasaf Qarshi0
Mashal Muborak0
Navbahor Namangan2
Navbahor Namangan1
Nasaf Qarshi0
Navbahor Namangan4
Bunyodkor3
Termez Surkhon0
Navbahor Namangan1
Gazalkent
Gazalkent2
Shortan Guzor1
Jayxun1
Gazalkent2
Gazalkent3
Pakhtakor II2
TerDU1
Gazalkent4
Gazalkent2
Kokand 19121
Gazalkent0
Yaypan0
Lochin1
Gazalkent1
Gazalkent0
FarDU1
Kattaqurgon2
Gazalkent4
Gazalkent0
Olimpik-Mobiuz1
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Uzbekistan Cup match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 53% in our model. The match gets going at 3:00 pm over at Markaziy Stadium (Namangan).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Navbahor Namangan vs Gazalkent?
Our selection is 1 — Navbahor Namangan to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Navbahor Namangan's current form?
Navbahor Namangan have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gazalkent been performing recently?
Gazalkent have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.
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