WON
Tip WON
NEC FC 1 - 0 UPDF
N
NEC FC
Home
D
W
D
W
D
1W 1D 0L
→ Steady
VS
1 - 0
U
UPDF
Away
L
D
L
L
L
0W 0D 2L
→ Steady
NEC FC
50%
Draw
30%
UPDF
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-32%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — NEC FC to win
1.45
Under 2.5 Goals75%
BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
NEC FC vs UPDF
Competition: Uganda Premier League
Date: Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Pick: 1 (NEC FC to win)
Odds: 1.45
Confidence: 37%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: BTTS — No (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
NEC FC
5
Draws
0
UPDF
5
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
NEC FC won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
NEC FC
Metric
UPDF
1
Goals For / Game
0
0.5
Goals Against / Game
2.5
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
1-1-0
W — D — L
0-0-2
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
N0
0-0
13.5%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
0-3
0.0%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
N1
1-0
23.7%
1-1
5.9%
1-2
0.7%
1-3
0.1%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
N2
2-0
20.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
N3
3-0
12.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
0.4%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
N4
4-0
5.3%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
N5
5-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(23.7%)
2-0(20.7%)
3-0(12.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ U=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
NEC FC Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
UPDF Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
50%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
17%
Home Win & Under 2.5
50%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
25%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
: UPD0
NEC0
: UPD0
NEC0
: NEC1
UPD0
: UPD2
NEC2
: NEC2
UPD0
Recent Form
NEC FC
: VIP1
NEC1
: NEC3
KCC1
: NEC0
EXP0
: BUH0
NEC1
: NEC3
KIT3
UPDF
: LUG1
UPD0
: UPD0
BUH0
: UPD0
BUL1
: KCC4
UPD0
: UPD0
ENT1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, NEC FC host UPDF in Uganda Premier League. We recommend NEC FC to win as the standout selection.
NEC FC arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 2 outings.
UPDF are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 2L across 2 matches.
Historical meetings favour NEC FC, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to UPDF's 0, with 5 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.
Our verdict: nec fc to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for NEC FC vs UPDF?
Our selection is 1 — NEC FC to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 37%.
What is NEC FC's current form?
NEC FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches.
How has UPDF been performing recently?
UPDF have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 2 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
NEC FC lead with 0 wins versus UPDF's 0, with 5 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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