WON Tip WON Neftchi Fargona 4-0 Kokand 1912
N

Neftchi Fargona

Home
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
VS
4-0
K
Kokand 1912
Away
L D D D D
2W 5D 3L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 29th April 2026
1
Backing Neftchi Fargona to win
Neftchi Fargona 50%
Draw 30%
Kokand 1912 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neftchi Fargona to win
1.22
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912 Competition: Uzbekistan Super League Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Neftchi Fargona to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 57% Also: Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Neftchi Fargona
3
Draws
4
Kokand 1912
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Neftchi Fargona won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neftchi Fargona
Metric
Kokand 1912
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.1
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-0-1
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.5%) 2-0(13.7%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neftchi Fargona Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kokand 1912 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.0
Kokand 1912
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.08.25SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona2
14.03.25SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19120
02.08.22SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona3
02.03.22SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
29.11.18SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19122
24.10.18SL
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona0
17.08.18SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
30.05.18CUP
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona (1 - 1)1
10.05.18SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona1
26.08.17SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona1
Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona
24.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch0
Neftchi Fargona2
W
18.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona2
Nasaf Qarshi1
W
14.04.26SL
Bunyodkor0
Neftchi Fargona1
W
09.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Pakhtakor1
L
04.04.26SL
Qizilqum0
Neftchi Fargona4
W
20.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Lok. Tashkent1
W
15.03.26SUC
Neftchi Fargona1
Pakhtakor0
W
10.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Andijan0
W
05.03.26SL
Termez Surkhon0
Neftchi Fargona3
W
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
W
Kokand 1912
24.04.26SL
Qizilqum2
Kokand 19121
L
19.04.26SL
Kokand 19120
Andijan0
D
14.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch2
Kokand 19122
D
08.04.26SL
Kokand 19121
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
02.04.26SL
Sogdiana2
Kokand 19122
D
18.03.26SL
Kokand 19122
Navbahor Namangan1
W
11.03.26SL
Lok. Tashkent0
Kokand 19120
D
04.03.26SL
Kokand 19121
Pakhtakor2
L
27.02.26SL
Buxoro1
Kokand 19120
L
06.02.26CF
Kokand 19121
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Neftchi Fargona host Kokand 1912 in Uzbekistan Super League. We recommend Neftchi Fargona to win as the standout selection.

Neftchi Fargona arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kokand 1912 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Neftchi Fargona, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: neftchi fargona to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Uzbekistan Super League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Our selection is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's current form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kokand 1912 been performing recently?
Kokand 1912 have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neftchi Fargona lead with 3 wins versus Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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