N
Nejmeh SC
Home
W
D
W
D
W
7W 2D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
7:30 pm
—
N/A
A
Al Ahed
Away
D
L
L
D
W
3W 2D 5L
▼ Declining
Nejmeh SC
50%
Draw
30%
Al Ahed
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-13.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Nejmeh SC to win
1.38
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
Competition: Lebanon Premier League
Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026
KO: 7:30 pm
Pick: 1 (Nejmeh SC to win)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 59%
Also: Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Nejmeh SC
2
Draws
2
Al Ahed
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Nejmeh SC won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nejmeh SC
Metric
Al Ahed
2
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.7
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
2.7%
0-3
0.9%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
N1
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
N2
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
N3
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
N4
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
N5
5-0
1.1%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.3%)
2-0(10.4%)
2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Nejmeh SC Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Al Ahed Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Home Win & BTTS No
32%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
32%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC4
Nejmeh SC4
Al Ahed1
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed1
Al Ahed1
Nejmeh SC0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed2
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed1
Recent Form
Nejmeh SC
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya1
Al Ansar1
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya0
Nejmeh SC0
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma0
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC1
Nejmeh SC5
Racing0
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed
Al Ahed1
Al Ansar1
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed3
Al Ahed4
Al Sahel2
Al Ahed4
Safa1
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed1
Al Ahed1
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Al Ahed1
Safa2
Nejmeh SC (Home)
Nejmeh SC2
Jwayya1
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC5
Racing0
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
Al Ahed (Away)
Jwayya2
Al Ahed0
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed3
Al Ansar3
Al Ahed1
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Al Ansar1
Al Ahed2
Al-Mabarrah1
Al Ahed0
Jwayya0
Al Ahed1
Racing0
Al Ahed2
Bourj FC1
Al Ahed4
Al Sahel2
Al Ahed1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Nejmeh SC host Al Ahed at N/A in Lebanon Premier League. We recommend Nejmeh SC to win as the standout selection.
Nejmeh SC arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Al Ahed are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Nejmeh SC, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Al Ahed's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: nejmeh sc to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Lebanon Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:30 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed?
Our selection is 1 — Nejmeh SC to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Nejmeh SC's current form?
Nejmeh SC have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Ahed been performing recently?
Al Ahed have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nejmeh SC lead with 6 wins versus Al Ahed's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.