N
Nejmeh SC
Home
W
L
W
L
W
4W 2D 2L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
1:30 pm
T
Tadamon
Away
W
D
L
D
D
1W 4D 5L
โ Steady
Nejmeh SC
50%
Draw
30%
Tadamon
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-29.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Nejmeh SC to win
1.21
Under 2.5 Goals67%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nejmeh SC vs Tadamon
Competition: Lebanon Premier League
Date: Thursday, 25th June 2026
KO: 1:30 pm
Pick: 1 (Nejmeh SC to win)
Odds: 1.21
Confidence: 53%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (67%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Nejmeh SC
4
Draws
0
Tadamon
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Nejmeh SC won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nejmeh SC
Metric
Tadamon
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
38%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-2-2
W โ D โ L
1-4-5
Win Rate
2.1
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
N0
0-0
11.1%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
2.3%
0-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
N1
1-0
17.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
3.6%
1-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
N2
2-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
N3
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
N4
4-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
N5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(17.2%)
2-0(13.3%)
2-1(8.7%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals โ T=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Nejmeh SC Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Tadamon Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
30%
Draw & BTTS Yes
15%
Draw & BTTS No
20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
5%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
18%
Home Win & Under 2.5
36%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
23%
Away Win & Over 2.5
4%
Away Win & Under 2.5
7%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC0
Nejmeh SC4
Tadamon1
Nejmeh SC5
Tadamon1
Tadamon1
Nejmeh SC1
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC3
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC0
Tadamon1
Nejmeh SC1
Nejmeh SC2
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC2
Tadamon1
Recent Form
Nejmeh SC
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
Al Sahel1
Nejmeh SC1
Safa1
Nejmeh SC0
Tadamon
Tadamon1
Racing0
Tadamon1
Al-Mabarrah1
Jwayya1
Tadamon0
Al Ahed0
Tadamon0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah1
Tadamon1
Tadamon1
Al Sahel2
Safa2
Tadamon0
Al Ahed3
Tadamon1
Al Ansar2
Tadamon0
Tadamon0
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC (Home)
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
Nejmeh SC0
Al Ansar0
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ansar0
Nejmeh SC3
Al Hikma0
Nejmeh SC0
Jwayya1
Tadamon (Away)
Jwayya1
Tadamon0
Al Ahed0
Tadamon0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah1
Tadamon1
Safa2
Tadamon0
Al Ahed3
Tadamon1
Al Ansar2
Tadamon0
Racing0
Tadamon1
Al-Mabarrah0
Tadamon3
Jwayya0
Tadamon0
Bourj FC3
Tadamon1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Nejmeh SC host Tadamon in Lebanon Premier League. We recommend Nejmeh SC to win as the standout selection.
Nejmeh SC arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 8 outings.
Tadamon are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Nejmeh SC, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Tadamon's 0, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: nejmeh sc to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Lebanon Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.21, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 1:30 pm over at the host venue.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nejmeh SC vs Tadamon?
Our selection is 1 โ Nejmeh SC to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Nejmeh SC's current form?
Nejmeh SC have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches.
How has Tadamon been performing recently?
Tadamon have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nejmeh SC lead with 6 wins versus Tadamon's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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