WON Tip WON Noah 8-3 Ararat Yerevan
N

Noah

Home
W W W D D
7W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
8-3
A
Ararat Yerevan
Away
L W L W L
3W 0D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 19th May 2026
1
Backing Noah to win
Noah 60%
Draw 20%
Ararat Yerevan 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.13
BTTS — No65% Noah Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Noah to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Noah Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Noah
0
Draws
2
Ararat Yerevan
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Noah
Metric
Ararat Yerevan
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 4.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Noah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ararat Yerevan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Noah
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.7
Ararat Yerevan
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.10.25PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah3
28.09.25PL
Noah2
Ararat Yerevan0
26.04.25PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.11.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan0
15.09.24PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Noah1
09.05.24PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah1
07.03.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan3
03.11.23PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah2
31.08.23PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.05.23PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Noah0
Recent Form
Noah
14.05.26CUP
Urartu2
Noah4
W
10.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah4
W
06.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
W
03.05.26PL
Noah0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
29.04.26CUP
Noah0
Ararat-Armenia0
D
25.04.26PL
Alashkert1
Noah1
D
20.04.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
16.04.26CUP
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah1
W
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
W
05.04.26PL
Noah2
BKMA0
W
Ararat Yerevan
10.05.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Urartu1
L
01.05.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat Yerevan2
W
25.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat Yerevan0
L
18.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Pyunik Yerevan0
W
14.04.26PL
Alashkert2
Ararat Yerevan0
L
11.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
L
04.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Van2
L
01.04.26CUP
Urartu2
Ararat Yerevan3
W
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
L
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 19th May 2026, Noah host Ararat Yerevan in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

Noah arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ararat Yerevan are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Noah, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Ararat Yerevan's 2, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Armenia Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.13. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Ararat Yerevan?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Yerevan been performing recently?
Ararat Yerevan have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 8 wins versus Ararat Yerevan's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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