O
Operario-PR
Home
D
W
W
W
W
6W 2D 2L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
11:30 pm
โ
Estรกdio Germano Krรผger (Ponta Grossa)
P
Ponte Preta
Away
L
L
L
L
L
0W 1D 9L
โ Steady
Operario-PR
50%
Draw
30%
Ponte Preta
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-22.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Operario-PR to win
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
Competition: Brazil Serie B
Date: Wednesday, 22nd July 2026
KO: 11:30 pm
Pick: 1 (Operario-PR to win)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 50%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Operario-PR
3
Draws
3
Ponte Preta
10
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Operario-PR won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Operario-PR
Metric
Ponte Preta
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W โ D โ L
0-1-9
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
O0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
2.5%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
O1
1-0
10.0%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
5.0%
1-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
O2
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
O3
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
O4
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
O5
5-0
1.3%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(10.0%)
2-0(10.0%)
2-1(10.0%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
O=Home goals โ P=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Operario-PR Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Ponte Preta Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
48%
Home Win & BTTS No
32%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
52%
Home Win & Under 2.5
28%
Draw & Over 2.5
13%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Ponte Preta0
Operario-PR1
Operario-PR1
Ponte Preta1
Ponte Preta3
Operario-PR0
Operario-PR2
Ponte Preta0
Operario-PR1
Ponte Preta2
Ponte Preta0
Operario-PR0
Operario-PR1
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta1
Operario-PR1
Operario-PR2
Ponte Preta1
Ponte Preta1
Operario-PR0
Recent Form
Operario-PR
Sport Recife2
Operario-PR2
Operario-PR2
Novorizontino1
Athletic Club0
Operario-PR1
Operario-PR1
America MG0
Goias0
Operario-PR3
Botafogo SP2
Operario-PR1
Operario-PR2
Juventude1
Ceara1
Operario-PR2
Operario-PR1
Criciuma1
Operario-PR2
Nautico6
Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta1
Goias2
Ponte Preta1
Criciuma2
Fortaleza2
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO2
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta0
Novorizontino2
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta1
Cuiaba2
Ponte Preta0
Botafogo SP0
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
Ponte Preta1
Londrina4
Operario-PR (Home)
Operario-PR2
Novorizontino1
Operario-PR1
America MG0
Operario-PR2
Juventude1
Operario-PR1
Criciuma1
Operario-PR2
Nautico6
Operario-PR1
Chapecoense-SC2
Operario-PR3
Londrina0
Operario-PR0
Fortaleza0
Operario-PR0
Fluminense0
Operario-PR1
Novorizontino1
Ponte Preta (Away)
Fortaleza2
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO2
Ponte Preta0
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
Sao Bernardo3
Ponte Preta0
Avai1
Ponte Preta2
Nautico1
Ponte Preta0
Athletic Club2
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
Portuguesa2
Ponte Preta0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 22nd July 2026, Operario-PR host Ponte Preta at Estรกdio Germano Krรผger (Ponta Grossa) in Brazil Serie B. We recommend Operario-PR to win as the standout selection.
Operario-PR arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Ponte Preta are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 1D 9L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Operario-PR, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Ponte Preta's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: operario-pr to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brazil Serie B match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 11:30 pm over at Estรกdio Germano Krรผger (Ponta Grossa).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?
Our selection is 1 โ Operario-PR to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Operario-PR's current form?
Operario-PR have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ponte Preta been performing recently?
Ponte Preta have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Operario-PR lead with 4 wins versus Ponte Preta's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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