WON
Tip WON
Ordabasy 3-1 Altai
O
Ordabasy
Home
L
W
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
3-1
4:00 pm
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)
A
Altai
Away
W
W
L
D
L
3W 3D 3L
▲ Improving
Ordabasy
50%
Draw
30%
Altai
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-22.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ordabasy to win
1.36
Ordabasy Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ordabasy vs Altai
Competition: Kazakhstan Cup
Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026
KO: 4:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Ordabasy to win)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 51%
Also: Ordabasy Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Ordabasy
1
Draws
0
Altai
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Ordabasy won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ordabasy
Metric
Altai
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
33%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-3-3
Win Rate
2.3
Avg Goals
58%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
0.9%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
O1
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
4.9%
1-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
O2
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
O3
3-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
O4
4-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
O5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.3%)
2-0(11.1%)
2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
O=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ordabasy Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Altai Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Home Win & BTTS No
35%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
25%
Home Win & Under 2.5
35%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Altai0
Ordabasy0
Recent Form
Ordabasy
Kaspij Aktau3
Ordabasy2
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
Ulytau0
Ordabasy1
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
Yelimay Semey1
Ordabasy3
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
Tobol0
Ordabasy3
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai0
Ordabasy0
Altai
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
Altai1
Tobol0
Tobol3
Altai1
Altai3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan3
Aktobe2
Altai0
Altai1
FC Astana1
Altai0
Okzhetpes1
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
Altai0
Ordabasy0
Ordabasy (Home)
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Ordabasy2
Aktobe0
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
Ordabasy2
Okzhetpes1
Ordabasy1
Atyrau1
Ordabasy2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
Altai (Away)
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
Tobol3
Altai1
Aktobe2
Altai0
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
Atyrau1
Altai0
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Altai1
Jelaev Nan0
Altai2
Ertis Pavlodar1
Altai0
Yelimay Semey1
Altai1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Ordabasy host Altai at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent) in Kazakhstan Cup. We recommend Ordabasy to win as the standout selection.
Ordabasy arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Altai are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 3L across 9 matches.
Historical meetings favour Ordabasy, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Altai's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ordabasy to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Kazakhstan Cup match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.36, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ordabasy vs Altai?
Our selection is 1 — Ordabasy to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Ordabasy's current form?
Ordabasy have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Altai been performing recently?
Altai have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ordabasy lead with 0 wins versus Altai's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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