WON Tip WON Ordabasy 2-0 Kaspij Aktau
O

Ordabasy

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
4:00 pm
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)
K
Kaspij Aktau
Away
L L D L W
2W 1D 7L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 20th June 2026
1
Backing Ordabasy to win
Ordabasy 60%
Draw 20%
Kaspij Aktau 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Ordabasy
2
Draws
2
Kaspij Aktau
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ordabasy won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Ordabasy
Metric
Kaspij Aktau
2
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
O0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 17.9%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 2.7%
1-3 0.5%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 15.2%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 8.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(17.9%) 2-0(15.2%) 3-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ordabasy Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Kaspij Aktau Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Ordabasy
Overall
9.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.3
Kaspij Aktau
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
29.10.23PL
Kaspij Aktau1
Ordabasy0
04.03.23PL
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau1
04.07.22PL
Ordabasy4
Kaspij Aktau1
03.04.22PL
Kaspij Aktau2
Ordabasy1
27.09.21PL
Ordabasy1
Kaspij Aktau1
08.05.21PL
Kaspij Aktau0
Ordabasy0
26.10.20PL
Kaspij Aktau1
Ordabasy2
21.08.20PL
Ordabasy1
Kaspij Aktau0
01.05.13CUP
Ordabasy5
Kaspij Aktau1
Recent Form
Ordabasy
14.06.26PL
Yelimay Semey1
Ordabasy3
W
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
23.05.26PL
Tobol0
Ordabasy3
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
D
03.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Aktobe0
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
W
25.04.26PL
Kyzylzhar1
Ordabasy2
W
18.04.26PL
Ordabasy2
Okzhetpes1
W
Kaspij Aktau
14.06.26PL
Kaspij Aktau1
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
L
28.05.26PL
Zhenis1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
22.05.26PL
Kaspij Aktau2
Ertis Pavlodar2
D
16.05.26PL
Ulytau1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
09.05.26PL
Yelimay Semey0
Kaspij Aktau1
W
03.05.26PL
Kaspij Aktau1
FC Astana0
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
L
26.04.26PL
Tobol2
Kaspij Aktau1
L
18.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Kaspij Aktau0
L
12.04.26PL
Aktobe1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
Ordabasy (Home)
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
03.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Aktobe0
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
W
18.04.26PL
Ordabasy2
Okzhetpes1
W
04.04.26PL
Ordabasy1
Atyrau1
D
20.03.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
W
07.03.26PL
Ordabasy2
Ertis Pavlodar2
D
09.02.26CF
Ordabasy2
Alashkert1
W
Kaspij Aktau (Away)
28.05.26PL
Zhenis1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
16.05.26PL
Ulytau1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
09.05.26PL
Yelimay Semey0
Kaspij Aktau1
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
L
26.04.26PL
Tobol2
Kaspij Aktau1
L
18.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Kaspij Aktau0
L
12.04.26PL
Aktobe1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
09.04.26CUP
FC Batyr0
Kaspij Aktau4
W
22.03.26PL
Altai0
Kaspij Aktau0
D
08.03.26PL
Kyzylzhar2
Kaspij Aktau1
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Ordabasy host Kaspij Aktau at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent) in Kazakhstan PL. We recommend Ordabasy to win as the standout selection.

Ordabasy arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kaspij Aktau are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ordabasy, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kaspij Aktau's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ordabasy to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


I want to start with something that most football betting sites won’t tell you: being a fan and being a bettor are almost opposites. Fans want drama. They want comebacks, upsets, stories. Bettors want clarity. They want the most likely outcome for the most reasonable price. If you can separate those two things in your head, you’ll immediately become a better punter — and this Kazakhstan PL matchup is a perfect illustration of why.

Let’s talk about the home side first, because they set the foundation for everything else. Their season form of W-W-W-W-W is what’s been driving their market price. Bookmakers have built their opening line largely around that long-run average. But here’s what experienced bettors know: that average is almost always a lagging indicator. It includes results from three months ago that have nothing to do with the team you’re watching in this fixture.

So we go deeper. We look at their last five home outings and start asking real questions. Are their attacking patterns generating dangerous chances, or are they being efficient with limited opportunities? Is their defence pressing high, or sitting deep and inviting pressure? These last five matches tell you whether the team is building momentum or quietly losing their grip on form, and that intelligence is worth far more than any seasonal average.

On the other side, the visiting team arrives with an away record of L-L-D-L-W over the campaign. Once more, we go to the recent games rather than leaning on the broader number. Away form can shift dramatically across a season for all sorts of reasons: squad rotation, injury, morale, tactics, travel burden. The current snapshot of their away performances is what matters for this game, not what they did in August.

Head-to-head data between these sides adds another layer.:

Head-to-Head Record:

30.04.26 (CUP) Ordabasy 3 – 0 Kaspij Aktau
29.10.23 (PL) Kaspij Aktau 1 – 0 Ordabasy
04.03.23 (PL) Ordabasy 3 – 1 Kaspij Aktau
04.07.22 (PL) Ordabasy 4 – 1 Kaspij Aktau
03.04.22 (PL) Kaspij Aktau 2 – 1 Ordabasy
27.09.21 (PL) Ordabasy 1 – 1 Kaspij Aktau
08.05.21 (PL) Kaspij Aktau 0 – 0 Ordabasy
26.10.20 (PL) Kaspij Aktau 1 – 2 Ordabasy
21.08.20 (PL) Ordabasy 1 – 0 Kaspij Aktau
01.05.13 (CUP) Ordabasy 5 – 1 Kaspij Aktau

— and those historical meetings often carry weight that straight form analysis misses. Some clubs just find it harder to play against particular opponents, regardless of current table positions.

Everything points to 1 at @@1.19 as the standout play here at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent). With a calculated probability of 60,20,20%, this is where the data says the smart money belongs. The match kicks off at 4:00 pm, and we’re confident in this read. Check the rest of our daily tips before you lock in your final slip.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ordabasy vs Kaspij Aktau?
Our selection is 1 — Ordabasy to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Ordabasy's current form?
Ordabasy have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kaspij Aktau been performing recently?
Kaspij Aktau have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ordabasy lead with 6 wins versus Kaspij Aktau's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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