P
Partizan
Home
D
W
D
W
W
5W 4D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
8:00 pm
—
Stadion Partizana (Belgrade)
U
UNA Strassen
Away
W
W
W
D
D
5W 4D 1L
→ Steady
Partizan
50%
Draw
30%
UNA Strassen
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-36.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Partizan to win
1.16
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
Competition: Conference League Qualifiers
Date: Thursday, 23rd July 2026
KO: 8:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Partizan to win)
Odds: 1.16
Confidence: 50%
Also: UNA Strassen Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Partizan
Metric
UNA Strassen
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.4
30%
Clean Sheets
70%
5-4-1
W — D — L
5-4-1
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
P0
0-0
9.5%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
6.9%
0-3
2.8%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
P1
1-0
11.0%
1-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.2%
P2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
P3
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
P4
4-0
0.7%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
P5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.0%)
2-1(7.6%)
2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
P=Home goals ↓ U=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Partizan Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
UNA Strassen Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
13%
Draw & BTTS No
16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
16%
Home Win & Under 2.5
20%
Draw & Over 2.5
13%
Draw & Under 2.5
16%
Away Win & Over 2.5
16%
Away Win & Under 2.5
19%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Partizan
Zemun2
Partizan2
Nafta1
Partizan4
Lok. Zagreb2
Partizan2
Partizan1
Neftci Baku0
Aluminij1
Partizan2
CSKA 1948 Sofia3
Partizan0
Partizan5
Radnik0
Cukaricki0
Partizan0
Partizan1
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet1
Partizan2
Novi Pazar1
UNA Strassen
La Fiorita0
UNA Strassen2
UNA Strassen1
La Fiorita0
UNA Strassen2
Victoria Rosport0
Differdange1
UNA Strassen1
UNA Strassen0
Mondorf0
Dudelange1
UNA Strassen1
UNA Strassen3
Jeunesse Esch0
Differdange0
UNA Strassen0
UNA Strassen2
Jeunesse Canach0
Rodange2
UNA Strassen1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 23rd July 2026, Partizan host UNA Strassen at Stadion Partizana (Belgrade) in Conference League Qualifiers. We recommend Partizan to win as the standout selection.
Partizan arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
UNA Strassen are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 4D 1L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: partizan to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Conference League Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.16, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 8:00 pm over at Stadion Partizana (Belgrade).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Partizan vs UNA Strassen?
Our selection is 1 — Partizan to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Partizan's current form?
Partizan have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has UNA Strassen been performing recently?
UNA Strassen have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game.
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