S
Shamrock Rovers
Home
W
L
W
W
W
7W 1D 2L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:45 pm
—
Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)
C
Cork City
Away
L
L
W
W
W
8W 0D 2L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
91.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-1.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Shamrock Rovers to win or draw
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Cork City Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Competition: Ireland FA Cup
Date: Friday, 17th July 2026
KO: 7:45 pm
Pick: 1X (Shamrock Rovers to win or draw)
Odds: 1.09
Confidence: 90%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Cork City Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Shamrock Rovers
4
Draws
1
Cork City
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shamrock Rovers
Metric
Cork City
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
80%
7-1-2
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-3
3.4%
0-4
1.4%
0-5
0.4%
S1
1-0
7.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
S2
2-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
S3
3-0
2.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
S4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
1.0%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
S5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(11.2%)
2-1(7.8%)
1-0(7.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ C=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
27%
Draw & BTTS Yes
1%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Away Win & BTTS No
31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
23%
Home Win & Under 2.5
23%
Draw & Over 2.5
2%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
26%
Away Win & Under 2.5
26%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City0
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers1
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City1
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers1
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City1
Cork City0
Shamrock Rovers0
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City1
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers0
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City4
Cork City0
Shamrock Rovers3
Recent Form
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers5
Floriana1
Floriana2
Shamrock Rovers0
Sligo Rovers1
Shamrock Rovers2
Shamrock Rovers1
Hibernian0
Shamrock Rovers3
Galway1
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City1
Waterford0
Shamrock Rovers2
Shelbourne2
Shamrock Rovers1
Shamrock Rovers1
St. Patricks0
Bohemians1
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City
Cork City1
Cardiff6
Cork City3
Longford4
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
Cork City2
Bray0
Cork City4
Treaty United0
Wexford0
Cork City2
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
Treaty United0
Cork City1
Athlone0
Cork City3
Longford0
Cork City2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 17th July 2026, Shamrock Rovers host Cork City at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) in Ireland FA Cup. We recommend Shamrock Rovers to win or draw as the standout selection.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Cork City are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Shamrock Rovers, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Cork City's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: shamrock rovers to win or draw at odds of 1.09 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Ireland FA Cup match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.09, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 7:45 pm over at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?
Our selection is 1X — Shamrock Rovers to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.09. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Shamrock Rovers's current form?
Shamrock Rovers have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cork City been performing recently?
Cork City have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shamrock Rovers lead with 5 wins versus Cork City's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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