WON Tip WON Simba 2-1 Pamba
S

Simba

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
2-1
P
Pamba
Away
L W L D L
2W 2D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 14th June 2026
1
Backing Simba to win
Simba 60%
Draw 20%
Pamba 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 86.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.16
BTTS — No65% Simba Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Simba vs Pamba Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Sunday, 14th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Simba to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 71% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Simba Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Simba
1
Draws
0
Pamba
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Simba won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Simba
Metric
Pamba
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 1.1%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 15.2%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 2.3%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 10.7%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 5.5%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 2.2%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(15.6%) 1-0(15.2%) 3-0(10.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Simba Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Pamba Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Simba
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.3
Pamba
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.03.26LKB
Pamba1
Simba1
08.05.25LKB
Simba5
Pamba1
22.11.24LKB
Pamba0
Simba1
Recent Form
Simba
24.05.26LKB
Simba1
Dodoma Jiji0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
W
17.05.26FAC
Simba4
TRA United0
W
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Simba3
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba4
Tanzania Prisons0
W
06.05.26LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Simba3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
Pamba
26.05.26LKB
Pamba2
Tanzania Prisons3
L
20.05.26LKB
Kinondoni MC0
Pamba1
W
14.05.26LKB
Azam2
Pamba0
L
10.05.26LKB
Pamba0
Dodoma Jiji0
D
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
L
30.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate1
Pamba2
W
17.04.26LKB
TRA United1
Pamba0
L
11.04.26FAC
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
L
08.04.26LKB
Pamba0
Young Africans3
L
04.04.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Pamba0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 14th June 2026, Simba host Pamba in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Simba to win as the standout selection.

Simba arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pamba are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Simba, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Pamba's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: simba to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.16. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs Pamba?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pamba been performing recently?
Pamba have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 2 wins versus Pamba's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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