WON Tip WON St Patricks 4-1 Sligo Rovers
S

St Patricks

Home
W D W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
4-1
S
Sligo Rovers
Away
L L L W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 3rd April 2026
1
Backing St Patricks to win
St Patricks 50%
Draw 30%
Sligo Rovers 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -33.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — St Patricks to win
1.36
Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Competition: Ireland Premier Division Date: Friday, 3rd April 2026 Pick: 1 (St Patricks to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 40% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (90%)
Head to Head
Record
0
St Patricks
8
Draws
2
Sligo Rovers
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip St Patricks won 0 of the last 10 meetings (8 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
St Patricks
Metric
Sligo Rovers
0
Goals For / Game
1.2
0
Goals Against / Game
1
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
60%
40%
1.1
Avg Goals
25%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
10%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 33.3%
0-1 20.0%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 16.6%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 4.2%
2-1 2.5%
2-2 0.8%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 0.4%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.6%) 2-0(4.2%) 2-1(2.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
St Patricks Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sligo Rovers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
St Patricks
Overall
6.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Sligo Rovers
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.09.25
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers1
St. Patrick’s0
10.08.25
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers0
30.05.25
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s1
28.02.25
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Sligo Rovers3
01.11.24
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s2
04.08.24
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers2
06.05.24
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers1
St. Patrick’s0
01.04.24
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers0
23.10.23
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s1
Sligo Rovers0
04.08.23
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s2
Recent Form
St Patricks
20.03.26
Premier Division: Waterford FC0
St. Patrick’s2
W
16.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s0
Derry City0
D
13.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Drogheda United1
W
06.03.26
Premier Division: Shelbourne F.C.2
St. Patrick’s3
W
02.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s1
Galway United0
W
27.02.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Dundalk F.C.0
W
20.02.26
Premier Division: Shamrock Rovers2
St. Patrick’s0
L
08.02.26
Premier Division: Bohemian F.C.0
St. Patrick’s0
D
23.01.26
Friendly: St. Patrick’s1
Cork City1
D
16.01.26
Friendly: Bray Wanderers0
St. Patrick’s3
W
Sligo Rovers
21.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Shelbourne1
L
16.03.26
Premier Division: Dundalk1
Sligo Rovers0
L
13.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Shamrock Rovers2
L
07.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers2
Drogheda United1
W
27.02.26
Premier Division: Galway United1
Sligo Rovers0
L
20.02.26
Premier Division: Waterford FC0
Sligo Rovers0
D
14.02.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Bohemians4
L
06.02.26
Premier Division: Derry City2
Sligo Rovers1
L
31.01.26
Friendly: Sligo Rovers1
Finn Harps0
W
24.01.26
Friendly: Sligo Rovers6
Galway United0
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 3rd April 2026, St Patricks host Sligo Rovers in Ireland Premier Division. We recommend St Patricks to win as the standout selection.

St Patricks arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sligo Rovers are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Patricks, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Sligo Rovers's 2, with 8 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: st patricks to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Ireland Premier Division match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.36. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?
Our selection is 1 — St Patricks to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 40%.
What is St Patricks's current form?
St Patricks have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sligo Rovers been performing recently?
Sligo Rovers have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Patricks lead with 0 wins versus Sligo Rovers's 2, with 8 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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