U
U. Catolica W
Home
W
W
L
W
W
9W 0D 1L
→ Steady
VS
—
10:00 pm
—
N/A
P
Palestino W
Away
L
L
L
L
L
2W 2D 6L
→ Steady
U. Catolica W
60%
Draw
20%
Palestino W
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
84%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-10%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — U. Catolica W to win
1.19
BTTS — No65%
U. Catolica W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
U. Catolica W vs Palestino W
Competition: Chile Primera Division Women
Date: Saturday, 25th July 2026
KO: 10:00 pm
Pick: 1 (U. Catolica W to win)
Odds: 1.19
Confidence: 74%
Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Also: U. Catolica W Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
U. Catolica W
2
Draws
0
Palestino W
9
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
U. Catolica W won 7 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
U. Catolica W
Metric
Palestino W
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-0-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
U0
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
1.7%
0-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
U1
1-0
10.4%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
3.8%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
U2
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.0%
U3
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
U4
4-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
2.0%
5-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(11.5%)
1-0(10.4%)
2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ P=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
U. Catolica W Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Palestino W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Home Win & BTTS No
49%
Draw & BTTS Yes
3%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
45%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
7%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Palestino W0
U. Catolica1
U. Catolica W1
Palestino0
Palestino W2
U. Catolica4
U. Catolica W5
Palestino1
Palestino W1
U. Catolica W20.06.26 (PD) Palestino W 0 - 1 U. Catolica1
U. Catolica W1
Palestino0
Palestino W2
U. Catolica4
U. Catolica W5
Palestino1
Palestino W1
U. Catolica1
Recent Form
U. Catolica W
U. Catolica W3
Coquimbo W2
U. Catolica W2
S. Wanderers W0
Colo-Colo W2
U. Catolica W1
U. Catolica W4
U. De Concepcion W0
Palestino W0
U. Catolica W1
U. Catolica W7
Deportes Temuco W1
Coquimbo W0
U. Catolica W1
U. Catolica W3
Magallanes W0
Deportes Iquique W0
U. Catolica W1
Recoleta W0
U. Catolica W3
Palestino W
Colo-Colo W4
Palestino W0
Palestino W1
Recoleta W2
Deportes Temuco W3
Palestino W2
Palestino W0
U. Catolica W1
U. De Chile W3
Palestino W1
U. De Concepcion W1
Palestino W1
Palestino W5
Deportes Temuco W0
U. Espanola W0
Palestino W2
Palestino W0
Colo-Colo W4
S. Wanderers W0
Palestino W0
U. Catolica W (Home)
U. Catolica W3
Coquimbo W2
U. Catolica W2
S. Wanderers W0
U. Catolica W4
U. De Concepcion W0
U. Catolica W7
Deportes Temuco W1
U. Catolica W3
Magallanes W0
U. Catolica W0
Colo-Colo W2
U. Catolica W1
Huachipato W0
U. Catolica W1
S. Wanderers W0
U. Catolica W2
U. Espanola W0
U. Catolica W3
Coquimbo W3
Palestino W (Away)
Deportes Temuco W3
Palestino W2
U. De Chile W3
Palestino W1
U. De Concepcion W1
Palestino W1
U. Espanola W0
Palestino W2
S. Wanderers W0
Palestino W0
Recoleta W1
Palestino W2
Coquimbo W1
Palestino W1
Colo-Colo W5
Palestino W0
S. Wanderers W1
Palestino W0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 25th July 2026, U. Catolica W host Palestino W at N/A in Chile Primera Division Women. We recommend U. Catolica W to win as the standout selection.
U. Catolica W arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Palestino W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour U. Catolica W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Palestino W's 0, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.
Our verdict: u. catolica w to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Chile Primera Division Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.19, sitting at roughly 60,20,20% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U. Catolica W vs Palestino W?
Our selection is 1 — U. Catolica W to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is U. Catolica W's current form?
U. Catolica W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Palestino W been performing recently?
Palestino W have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U. Catolica W lead with 7 wins versus Palestino W's 0, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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