U
Unterhaching
Home
W
L
L
W
W
6W 0D 4L
▼ Declining
VS
—
10:00 am
—
N/A
R
Regensburg
Away
D
W
L
L
W
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
70.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+9.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
31.2%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Thursday, 9th July 2026
KO: 10:00 am
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.41
Confidence: 80%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Unterhaching
1
Draws
8
Regensburg
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Unterhaching
Metric
Regensburg
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
3.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
U0
0-0
3.5%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
3.7%
0-3
1.8%
0-4
0.7%
0-5
0.2%
U1
1-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
U2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
U3
3-0
4.0%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
4.2%
3-3
2.0%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
U4
4-0
1.9%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
2.0%
4-3
1.0%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
U5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(9.7%)
2-1(9.2%)
1-2(7.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
41%
Home Win & Under 2.5
14%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
27%
Away Win & Under 2.5
9%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Regensburg1
Unterhaching2
Unterhaching1
Regensburg4
Regensburg5
Unterhaching1
Regensburg3
Unterhaching1
Unterhaching1
Regensburg2
Regensburg1
Unterhaching1
Unterhaching3
Regensburg4
Regensburg1
Unterhaching0
Regensburg2
Unterhaching1
Unterhaching0
Regensburg2
Recent Form
Unterhaching
Unterhaching4
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers4
Unterhaching0
Unterhaching1
Memmingen2
Bayreuth2
Unterhaching3
Unterhaching3
Hankofen-Hailing0
Furth II1
Unterhaching2
Unterhaching5
Schwaben Augsburg0
Aschaffenburg0
Unterhaching3
Unterhaching0
Buchbach1
Ansbach1
Unterhaching0
Regensburg
FC Schwaig2
Regensburg2
Ried2
Regensburg4
Regensburg0
Cottbus1
Mannheim1
Regensburg0
Regensburg2
Hoffenheim II1
Hansa Rostock2
Regensburg5
Regensburg1
Alemannia Aachen3
Munich 18602
Regensburg2
Regensburg1
Aue0
Stuttgart II3
Regensburg1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Unterhaching host Regensburg at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Unterhaching arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Regensburg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Unterhaching, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.41, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 am over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Unterhaching vs Regensburg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Unterhaching's current form?
Unterhaching have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Regensburg been performing recently?
Regensburg have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Unterhaching lead with 1 wins versus Regensburg's 8, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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