WON
Tip WON
Venezia 3-1 Padova
V
Venezia
Home
D
W
W
D
W
3W 2D 0L
→ Steady
VS
3-1
P
Padova
Away
L
L
D
W
D
1W 3D 1L
▲ Improving
Venezia
50%
Draw
30%
Padova
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Venezia to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Venezia Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Venezia vs Padova
Competition: Serie B
Date: Tuesday, 17th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Venezia to win)
Odds: 1.25
Confidence: 61%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Venezia Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Venezia
0
Draws
1
Padova
5
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Venezia won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Venezia
Metric
Padova
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-2-0
W — D — L
1-3-1
Win Rate
2.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
V0
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
3.3%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
V1
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
V2
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
V3
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
V4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
V5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(13.1%)
2-0(10.5%)
2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
V=Home goals ↓ P=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Venezia Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Padova Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
23%
Draw & BTTS No
15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
18%
Home Win & Under 2.5
28%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
23%
Away Win & Over 2.5
6%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
SB: Padova0
Venezia2
SB: Venezia2
Padova1
SB: Padova1
Venezia0
SC: Padova0
Venezia1
COP: Venezia3
Padova1
Recent Form
Venezia
SB: Sampdoria0
Venezia0
SB: Venezia2
Reggiana0
SB: Venezia4
Avellino0
SB: Südtirol1
Venezia1
SB: Venezia3
Pescara2
Padova
SB: Padova1
Catanzaro1
SB: Avellino1
Padova0
SB: Padova2
Spezia2
SB: Modena1
Padova2
SB: Padova1
Bari1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, Venezia host Padova in Serie B. We recommend Venezia to win as the standout selection.
Venezia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Padova are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Venezia, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Padova's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: venezia to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Venezia vs Padova?
Our selection is 1 — Venezia to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Venezia's current form?
Venezia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Padova been performing recently?
Padova have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Venezia lead with 4 wins versus Padova's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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