V
Vikingur Reykjavik
Home
W
L
D
W
W
6W 1D 3L
→ Steady
VS
—
9:00 pm
—
Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)
K
Keflavik
Away
W
L
D
W
D
4W 3D 3L
▲ Improving
Vikingur Reykjavik
60%
Draw
20%
Keflavik
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
78.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-13.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
Competition: Iceland Besta deild karla
Date: Friday, 24th July 2026
KO: 9:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Vikingur Reykjavik to win)
Odds: 1.27
Confidence: 65%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
Draws
1
Keflavik
9
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Vikingur Reykjavik won 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik
Metric
Keflavik
2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
V0
0-0
3.0%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
0-3
2.1%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.3%
V1
1-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
V2
2-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
2-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
V3
3-0
3.5%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
3-3
2.4%
3-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
V4
4-0
1.6%
4-1
2.6%
4-2
2.1%
4-3
1.1%
4-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
V5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
2-1(8.7%)
1-0(5.7%)
3-1(5.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
V=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vikingur Reykjavik Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Keflavik Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
38%
Home Win & BTTS No
13%
Draw & BTTS Yes
13%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Away Win & BTTS No
8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
35%
Home Win & Under 2.5
15%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Keflavik3
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Keflavik1
Keflavik0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Keflavik1
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Keflavik0
Keflavik0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Keflavik4
Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Thor Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KA Akureyri2
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Fram0
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
Akranes1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Keflavik
Keflavik5
Akranes2
Breidablik2
Keflavik1
Keflavik1
Fram1
Keflavik3
KR Reykjavik2
Valur1
Keflavik1
Keflavik1
Hafnarfjordur2
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
Keflavik1
Thor Akureyri0
Keflavik1
Stjarnan1
Akranes1
Keflavik3
Vikingur Reykjavik (Home)
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KA Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Hafnarfjordur0
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thor Akureyri0
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Akranes0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Stjarnan2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Vestri0
Keflavik (Away)
Breidablik2
Keflavik1
Valur1
Keflavik1
Vestmannaeyjar6
Keflavik1
Akranes1
Keflavik3
KA Akureyri1
Keflavik2
Fram3
Keflavik1
KR Reykjavik3
Keflavik2
Vestri2
Keflavik3
Stjarnan2
Keflavik1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 24th July 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host Keflavik at Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.
Vikingur Reykjavik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Keflavik are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Vikingur Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Keflavik's 1, with 1 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.
Our verdict: vikingur reykjavik to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Iceland Besta deild karla match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.27, sitting at roughly 60,20,20% in our model. The match gets going at 9:00 pm over at Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Keflavik been performing recently?
Keflavik have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 7 wins versus Keflavik's 1, with 1 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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