Y
Yunnan Yukun
Home
L
W
L
W
D
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
—
1:00 pm
—
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)
S
Shanghai Port
Away
L
W
W
L
D
3W 4D 3L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+7.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
27.4%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Competition: China Super League
Date: Friday, 17th July 2026
KO: 1:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 80%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Yunnan Yukun
0
Draws
3
Shanghai Port
3
Meetings
4.7
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Yunnan Yukun
Metric
Shanghai Port
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
Y0
0-0
3.5%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
0-3
2.6%
0-4
1.1%
0-5
0.4%
Y1
1-0
6.0%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
Y2
2-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
Y3
3-0
2.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-2
3.9%
3-3
2.2%
3-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
Y4
4-0
1.2%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
Y5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(9.8%)
2-1(8.4%)
1-2(8.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
Y=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Home Win & BTTS No
6%
Draw & BTTS Yes
26%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
28%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
21%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
9%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun1
Shanghai Port4
Yunnan Yukun2
Yunnan Yukun2
Shanghai Port3
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Taishan4
Yunnan Yukun3
Yunnan Yukun2
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Qingdao Hainiu4
Yunnan Yukun2
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Wuhan Three Towns1
Yunnan Yukun1
Yunnan Yukun2
Qingdao West Coast3
Chongqing Tonglianglong0
Yunnan Yukun0
Yunnan Yukun1
Shanghai Shenhua0
Liaoning Tieren1
Yunnan Yukun2
Yunnan Yukun1
Zhejiang Professional2
Shanghai Port
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Port1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Port1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port1
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
Yunnan Yukun (Home)
Yunnan Yukun2
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Yunnan Yukun2
Qingdao West Coast3
Yunnan Yukun1
Shanghai Shenhua0
Yunnan Yukun1
Zhejiang Professional2
Yunnan Yukun3
Beijing Guoan3
Yunnan Yukun0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger3
Yunnan Yukun4
Shandong Taishan0
Yunnan Yukun3
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun1
Qingdao West Coast0
Yunnan Yukun2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0
Shanghai Port (Away)
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Port1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Port2
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port1
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
Shandong Taishan1
Shanghai Port1
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shanghai Port0
Dalian Yingbo1
Shanghai Port0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 17th July 2026, Yunnan Yukun host Shanghai Port at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi) in China Super League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Yunnan Yukun arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Shanghai Port are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Yunnan Yukun, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Shanghai Port's 3, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this China Super League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 1:00 pm over at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Yunnan Yukun's current form?
Yunnan Yukun have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shanghai Port been performing recently?
Shanghai Port have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Yunnan Yukun lead with 0 wins versus Shanghai Port's 3, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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