Z
Zelzate
Home
L
L
L
D
L
0W 1D 9L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
N/A
K
knokke
Away
L
W
L
L
W
5W 0D 5L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
96.2%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-3.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals100%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zelzate vs knokke
Competition: Belgium National Division 1 - VV
Date: Wednesday, 30th September 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.04
Confidence: 93%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Zelzate
0
Draws
1
knokke
2
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zelzate
Metric
knokke
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.7
Goals Against / Game
2
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
0-1-9
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate
3.7
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
k0
k1
k2
k3
k4
k5
Z0
0-0
2.6%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
6.3%
0-3
4.6%
0-4
2.5%
0-5
1.1%
Z1
1-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
Z2
2-0
2.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
4.9%
2-4
2.7%
2-5
1.2%
Z3
3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
2.3%
3-4
1.3%
3-5
0.6%
Z4
4-0
0.5%
4-1
1.1%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.5%
4-5
0.2%
Z5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-2(9.1%)
1-1(8.3%)
1-3(6.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
Z=Home goals ↓ k=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
50%
Away Win & BTTS No
41%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
68%
Away Win & Under 2.5
23%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Zelzate2
Knokke3
Knokke1
Zelzate3
Recent Form
Zelzate
Zelzate0
Houtvenne3
Leuven B4
Zelzate3
Zelzate0
SK Roeselare3
Cercle Brugge KSV 21
Zelzate1
Zelzate1
Genk U232
Zelzate0
Sporting Lokeren2
Zelzate1
Waregem2
Zelzate2
Knokke3
Belisia Bilzen5
Zelzate0
Zelzate1
Hoogstraten2
knokke
Knokke2
Seraing5
Knokke3
Belisia Bilzen2
Cercle Brugge KSV 22
Knokke1
Thes Sport2
Knokke0
Knokke3
Heist0
Dender0
Knokke2
Petegem3
Knokke0
Kortrijk4
Knokke1
Zelzate2
Knokke3
Knokke2
Tienen0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Belgium National Division 1 – VV match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.04, sitting at roughly 85% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zelzate vs knokke?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.04. Tip confidence rating: 93%.
What is Zelzate's current form?
Zelzate have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches.
How has knokke been performing recently?
knokke have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zelzate lead with 1 wins versus knokke's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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