WON
Tip WON
Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia
B
Botev Plovdiv
Home
D
W
L
L
D
0W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
2 - 0
S
Septemvri Sofia
Away
W
W
L
L
L
0W 0D 1L
→ Steady
Botev Plovdiv
50%
Draw
30%
Septemvri Sofia
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-37.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Botev Plovdiv to win
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals67%
BTTS — No100%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League
Date: Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Pick: 1 (Botev Plovdiv to win)
Odds: 1.44
Confidence: 32%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (67%)
Also: BTTS — No (100%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Botev Plovdiv
4
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia
5
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Botev Plovdiv won 1 of the last 5 meetings (4 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Botev Plovdiv
Metric
Septemvri Sofia
0
Goals For / Game
0
1.5
Goals Against / Game
3
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
0-1-1
W — D — L
0-0-1
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0
10.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
B1
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
B2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
B3
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
B4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
B5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.8%)
2-0(11.9%)
2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
B=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Botev Plovdiv Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Septemvri Sofia Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
100%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
67%
Draw & Under 2.5
33%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
: SEP1
BOT3
: BOT3
SEP0
: SEP1
BOT0
: SEP2
BOT1
: BOT3
SEP1
Recent Form
Botev Plovdiv
: MON0
BOT0
: BOT2
LUD1
: LEV3
BOT0
: LOK1
BOT - CUP0
: BOT0
BER0
Septemvri Sofia
: SEP2
CSK0
: SEP1
MON0
: DOB3
SEP0
: SEP1
ORD - CF2
: SEP0
RAD - CF4
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, Botev Plovdiv host Septemvri Sofia in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Botev Plovdiv to win as the standout selection.
Botev Plovdiv arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 2 outings.
Septemvri Sofia are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 1L across 1 matches.
Historical meetings favour Botev Plovdiv, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 4 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: botev plovdiv to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our selection is 1 — Botev Plovdiv to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 32%.
What is Botev Plovdiv's current form?
Botev Plovdiv have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches.
How has Septemvri Sofia been performing recently?
Septemvri Sofia have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 1 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Botev Plovdiv lead with 1 wins versus Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 4 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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