WON
Tip WON
Genoa W 1-2 Inter Milan W
G
Genoa W
Home
L
D
D
L
L
0W 3D 7L
→ Steady
VS
1-2
I
Inter Milan W
Away
W
L
D
W
D
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Genoa W
20%
Draw
30%
Inter Milan W
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-18.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Genoa W
0
Draws
4
Inter Milan W
4
Meetings
5.3
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Inter Milan W won 4 of 4 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Genoa W
Metric
Inter Milan W
0.9
Goals For / Game
2.3
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
0-3-7
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
G0
0-0
4.3%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
10.4%
0-3
7.6%
0-4
4.2%
0-5
1.8%
G1
1-0
4.1%
1-1
9.0%
1-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
1-4
4.0%
1-5
1.8%
G2
2-0
1.9%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
3.4%
2-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
G3
3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
1.5%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.3%
G4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.3%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
G5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-2(10.4%)
1-2(9.9%)
0-1(9.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
G=Home goals ↓ I=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Genoa W Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Inter Milan W Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
17%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
43%
Away Win & BTTS No
28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
17%
Draw & Under 2.5
12%
Away Win & Over 2.5
43%
Away Win & Under 2.5
28%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Inter W5
Genoa0
Genoa W1
Inter2
Inter W7
Genoa0
Genoa W0
Inter6
Recent Form
Genoa W
Napoli W4
Genoa W1
Genoa W0
Juventus W0
Parma W1
Genoa W1
Genoa W0
Como W1
Ternana W3
Genoa W1
Genoa W2
Lazio W5
AC Milan W2
Genoa W1
Genoa W0
AS Roma W1
Fiorentina W1
Genoa W1
Genoa W2
AC Milan W3
Inter Milan W
Inter W5
Lazio W2
Inter W1
AS Roma W2
Inter W2
Napoli W2
Sassuolo W0
Inter W3
AS Roma W1
Inter W1
Inter W0
AS Roma W1
Parma W2
Inter W3
Inter W3
Fiorentina W0
Ternana W0
Inter W1
Inter W4
Ternana W0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 25th April 2026, Genoa W host Inter Milan W in Serie A Women. We recommend Inter Milan W to win as the standout selection.
Genoa W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Inter Milan W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Genoa W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Inter Milan W's 4, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.
Our verdict: inter milan w to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Serie A Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Genoa W vs Inter Milan W?
Our selection is 2 — Inter Milan W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Genoa W's current form?
Genoa W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Inter Milan W been performing recently?
Inter Milan W have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Genoa W lead with 0 wins versus Inter Milan W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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