WON
Tip WON
Monastir 2-0 AS Gabes
M
Monastir
Home
L
L
D
D
W
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
2-0
A
AS Gabes
Away
D
L
L
L
L
1W 3D 6L
▲ Improving
Monastir
50%
Draw
30%
AS Gabes
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-32.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Monastir to win
1.30
Under 2.5 Goals85%
BTTS — No85%
Monastir Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Monastir vs AS Gabes
Competition: Tunisia League
Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026
Pick: 1 (Monastir to win)
Odds: 1.30
Confidence: 44%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — No (85%)
Also: Monastir Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Monastir
3
Draws
2
AS Gabes
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Monastir won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Monastir
Metric
AS Gabes
0.6
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
1.5
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
M0
0-0
22.3%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
M1
1-0
21.2%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
3.2%
1-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
M2
2-0
10.1%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
M3
3-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
M4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
M5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(21.2%)
2-0(10.1%)
2-1(5.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
M=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Monastir Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
AS Gabes Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Home Win & BTTS No
37%
Draw & BTTS Yes
6%
Draw & BTTS No
37%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
2%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
6%
Home Win & Under 2.5
37%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
37%
Away Win & Over 2.5
2%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
AS Gabes1
Monastir1
Monastir5
AS Gabes0
AS Gabes0
Monastir0
Monastir2
AS Gabes0
Monastir3
AS Gabes1
AS Gabes0
Monastir0
Monastir1
AS Gabes2
AS Gabes0
Monastir2
AS Gabes2
Monastir0
Monastir1
AS Gabes0
Recent Form
Monastir
Ben Guerdane2
Monastir0
Monastir1
Zarzis (0 - 0)2
Monastir0
Club Africain0
JS Omrane0
Monastir0
Monastir1
Club Africain0
Monastir0
CS Sfaxien2
CA Bizertin0
Monastir0
Monastir3
Zarzis0
Etoile Sahel1
Monastir0
Monastir1
AS Marsa0
AS Gabes
AS Gabes1
Metlaoui1
AS Gabes0
Ben Guerdane1
Club Africain2
AS Gabes0
Metlaoui5
AS Gabes (2 - 2)2
AS Gabes0
JS Omrane2
CS Sfaxien1
AS Gabes0
AS Gabes0
CA Bizertin0
Zarzis0
AS Gabes1
AS Gabes0
Etoile Sahel0
AS Marsa1
AS Gabes0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Monastir host AS Gabes in Tunisia League. We recommend Monastir to win as the standout selection.
Monastir arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
AS Gabes are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Monastir, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to AS Gabes's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.
Our verdict: monastir to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Tunisia League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.30. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Monastir vs AS Gabes?
Our selection is 1 — Monastir to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Monastir's current form?
Monastir have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has AS Gabes been performing recently?
AS Gabes have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Monastir lead with 5 wins versus AS Gabes's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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