WON Tip WON Inter Milan 2-0 Parma
I

Inter Milan

Home
D W W W W
5W 4D 1L → Steady
VS
2-0
P
Parma
Away
W W D D L
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 3rd May 2026
1
Backing Inter Milan to win
Inter Milan 50%
Draw 30%
Parma 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Inter Milan to win
1.22
Under 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Inter Milan vs Parma Competition: Serie A Date: Sunday, 3rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Inter Milan to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 55% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Inter Milan
3
Draws
0
Parma
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Inter Milan won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Inter Milan
Metric
Parma
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-4-1
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
50%
40%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
I0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
I2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Inter Milan Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Parma Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Inter Milan
Overall
6.2
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Parma
Overall
5.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.01.26SA
Parma0
Inter2
05.04.25SA
Parma2
Inter2
06.12.24SA
Inter3
Parma1
10.01.23COP
Inter2
Parma (aet)1
08.08.21CF
Parma0
Inter2
04.03.21SA
Parma1
Inter2
31.10.20SA
Inter2
Parma2
28.06.20SA
Parma1
Inter2
26.10.19SA
Inter2
Parma2
09.02.19SA
Parma0
Inter1
Recent Form
Inter Milan
26.04.26SA
Torino2
Inter2
D
21.04.26COP
Inter3
Como2
W
17.04.26SA
Inter3
Cagliari0
W
12.04.26SA
Como3
Inter4
W
05.04.26SA
Inter5
AS Roma2
W
22.03.26SA
Fiorentina1
Inter1
D
14.03.26SA
Inter1
Atalanta1
D
08.03.26SA
AC Milan1
Inter0
L
03.03.26COP
Como0
Inter0
D
28.02.26SA
Inter2
Genoa0
W
Parma
25.04.26SA
Parma1
Pisa0
W
18.04.26SA
Udinese0
Parma1
W
12.04.26SA
Parma1
Napoli1
D
04.04.26SA
Lazio1
Parma1
D
21.03.26SA
Parma0
Cremonese2
L
13.03.26SA
Torino4
Parma1
L
08.03.26SA
Fiorentina0
Parma0
D
27.02.26SA
Parma1
Cagliari1
D
22.02.26SA
AC Milan0
Parma1
W
15.02.26SA
Parma2
Verona1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Inter Milan host Parma in Serie A. We recommend Inter Milan to win as the standout selection.

Inter Milan arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Parma are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Inter Milan, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Parma's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: inter milan to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Serie A match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Inter Milan vs Parma?
Our selection is 1 — Inter Milan to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Inter Milan's current form?
Inter Milan have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parma been performing recently?
Parma have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Inter Milan lead with 7 wins versus Parma's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.