WON Tip WON Al Kholood 1-2 Al Hilal
A

Al Kholood

Home
D D W L D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1-2
A
Al Hilal
Away
W W W L W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 8th May 2026
2
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Kholood 20%
Draw 20%
Al Hilal 60%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 1.67
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -5.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Hilal to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Kholood vs Al Hilal Competition: Saudi Kings Cup Date: Friday, 8th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Al Hilal to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Al Kholood
0
Draws
4
Al Hilal
4
Meetings
5.5
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal won 4 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Kholood
Metric
Al Hilal
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.9
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-3-3
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
40%
80%
3.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 3.6%
0-5 1.8%
A1
1-0 2.9%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.6%
1-4 4.7%
1-5 2.4%
A2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.5%
A3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.7%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(9.1%) 1-3(7.6%) 0-2(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Kholood Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Al Hilal Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Kholood
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
Al Hilal
Overall
8.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
31.12.25SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal3
25.02.25SPL
Al Hilal5
Al Kholood1
28.09.24SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Hilal4
Recent Form
Al Kholood
04.05.26SPL
Al Ittihad0
Al Kholood0
D
30.04.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Fayha1
D
11.04.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Kholood2
W
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
L
03.04.26SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Kholood3
Al Ittihad2
W
12.03.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Kholood1
L
07.03.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
L
28.02.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
W
Al Hilal
05.05.26SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 8th May 2026, Al Kholood host Al Hilal in Saudi Kings Cup. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Kholood arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Hilal are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Kholood, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Al Hilal's 4, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Kings Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.21. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Kholood vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Al Kholood's current form?
Al Kholood have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Kholood lead with 0 wins versus Al Hilal's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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