WON Tip WON Chengdu Rongcheng 3-0 Henan Songshan
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
H
Henan Songshan
Away
D W L D L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 9th May 2026
1
Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win
Chengdu Rongcheng 50%
Draw 30%
Henan Songshan 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 65.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Chengdu Rongcheng
2
Draws
4
Henan Songshan
9
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
44%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Chengdu Rongcheng won 3 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Henan Songshan
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
90%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 6.3%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Henan Songshan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
9.3
Scoring
9.0
Defence
7.0
Henan Songshan
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.10.25SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
19.08.25FAC
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Henan Songshan Longmen1
14.06.25SL
Henan Songshan Longmen3
Chengdu Rongcheng2
21.09.24SL
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Chengdu Rongcheng0
10.05.24SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Henan Songshan Longmen2
11.07.23SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Henan Songshan Longmen0
16.04.23SL
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
05.12.22SL
Henan Songshan Longmen0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
25.09.22SL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Henan Songshan Longmen0
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
05.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
01.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
W
25.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Zhejiang Professional0
W
21.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
17.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
12.04.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
03.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast1
W
21.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
D
15.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu0
W
06.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
W
Henan Songshan
05.05.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
D
01.05.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen4
Liaoning Tieren0
W
26.04.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen0
Shanghai Shenhua3
L
22.04.26SL
Qingdao West Coast0
Henan Songshan Longmen0
D
18.04.26SL
Dalian Yingbo2
Henan Songshan Longmen1
L
11.04.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen0
Shandong Taishan1
L
04.04.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Henan Songshan Longmen0
L
21.03.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Wuhan Three Towns1
D
15.03.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
07.03.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 9th May 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Henan Songshan in China Super League. We recommend Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Henan Songshan are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Henan Songshan's 4, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 44% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win at odds of 1.52 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming China Super League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.52. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan?
Our selection is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Henan Songshan been performing recently?
Henan Songshan have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 3 wins versus Henan Songshan's 4, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
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