Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
A

Al Arabi

Home
L W L L L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
PP
A
Al Tadamon
Away
W W W L L
4W 0D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing Al Arabi to win
Al Arabi 50%
Draw 30%
Al Tadamon 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Al Arabi
2
Draws
0
Al Tadamon
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Arabi won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Arabi
Metric
Al Tadamon
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-1-4
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
50%
40%
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Arabi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Tadamon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Arabi
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Al Tadamon
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.0
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.12.25PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi2
06.05.25PL
Al Tadamon0
Al Arabi4
14.01.25PL
Al Arabi1
Al Tadamon0
16.08.24PL
Al Tadamon2
Al Arabi3
10.02.23PL
Al Tadamon0
Al Arabi4
16.09.22PL
Al Arabi1
Al Tadamon1
09.02.22PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi3
04.02.22CRO
Al Arabi3
Al Tadamon0
20.11.21PL
Al Arabi4
Al Tadamon1
03.11.20PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi1
Recent Form
Al Arabi
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
L
15.02.26EMI
Al Arabi2
Al Sahel0
W
07.02.26PL
Al Arabi0
Kazma SC1
L
28.01.26SC
Al Arabi3
Al Qadisiya4
L
24.01.26PL
Al Kuwait1
Al Arabi0
L
19.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
W
15.01.26PL
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
11.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Al Qadisiya0
W
07.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Yarmouk1
W
02.01.26PL
Al Shabab0
Al Arabi5
W
Al Tadamon
24.02.26PL
Al Tadamon4
Al Jahra1
W
17.02.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Kazma SC0
W
13.02.26EMI
Al Tadamon1
Al Jahra0
W
05.02.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Naser3
L
23.01.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Tadamon1
L
10.01.26CRO
Al Tadamon0
Al Naser4
L
06.01.26CRO
Al Salmiya1
Al Tadamon2
W
02.01.26PL
Al Kuwait7
Al Tadamon1
L
28.12.25PL
Al Tadamon1
Al Arabi2
L
19.12.25PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Tadamon0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Kuwait Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.27. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Arabi vs Al Tadamon?
Our selection is 1 — Al Arabi to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Al Arabi's current form?
Al Arabi have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Tadamon been performing recently?
Al Tadamon have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Arabi lead with 8 wins versus Al Tadamon's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.