LOST Tip LOST FC Gomel 2-3 Baranovici
F

FC Gomel

Home
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L โ–ฒ Improving
VS
2-3
B
Baranovici
Away
D D L L L
0W 3D 7L โ†’ Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing FC Gomel to win
FC Gomel 50%
Draw 30%
Baranovici 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -5.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” FC Gomel to win
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Gomel vs Baranovici Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (FC Gomel to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
4
FC Gomel
0
Draws
0
Baranovici
4
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FC Gomel won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gomel
Metric
Baranovici
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
F0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 8.3%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 4.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.1%) 2-0(12.8%) 2-1(9.6%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip F=Home goals โ†“   B=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Gomel Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Baranovici Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
FC Gomel
Overall
6.6 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.0 โ–ผ
Defence
7.0 โ–ผ
Baranovici
Overall
0.9 โ€”
Scoring
2.0 โ€”
Defence
3.0 โ€”
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.09.16PL
Baranovici0
FC Gomel6
15.05.16PL
FC Gomel4
Baranovici1
14.08.10PL
FC Gomel5
Baranovici1
25.04.10PL
Baranovici0
FC Gomel2
Recent Form
FC Gomel
08.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Isloch0
W
02.05.26VL
FC Gomel1
Zhodino1
D
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
W
19.04.26VL
FC Gomel3
Slavia Mozyr1
W
10.04.26VL
Naftan0
FC Gomel2
W
05.04.26VL
FC Minsk2
FC Gomel0
L
20.03.26VL
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
D
13.03.26CF
FC Gomel3
BumProm Gomel1
W
07.03.26CF
FC Gomel2
Iskra Smolensk1
W
28.02.26CF
FC Gomel4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
W
Baranovici
08.05.26VL
Baranovici1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
D
02.05.26VL
Dnepr Mogilev0
Baranovici0
D
25.04.26VL
Baranovici2
Din. Minsk3
L
18.04.26VL
Dynamo Brest3
Baranovici0
L
11.04.26VL
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
L
05.04.26VL
BATE3
Baranovici0
L
22.03.26VL
Isloch2
Baranovici0
L
07.03.26CF
Neman0
Baranovici0
D
04.03.26CF
Baranovici1
Niva Dolbizno2
L
28.02.26CF
Din. Minsk3
Baranovici2
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.40. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gomel vs Baranovici?
Our selection is 1 โ€” FC Gomel to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is FC Gomel's current form?
FC Gomel have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Baranovici been performing recently?
Baranovici have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gomel lead with 4 wins versus Baranovici's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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