WON
Tip WON
Al Hilal 2-0 Neom SC
A
Al Hilal
Home
D
W
W
W
W
7W 2D 1L
โ Steady
VS
2-0
N
Neom SC
Away
W
D
D
L
W
3W 4D 3L
โผ Declining
Al Hilal
60%
Draw
20%
Neom SC
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
84%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-14%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Al Hilal to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS โ Yes70%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
Competition: Saudi Professional League
Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026
Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win)
Odds: 1.19
Confidence: 70%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: BTTS โ Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Hilal
0
Draws
0
Neom SC
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Al Hilal won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Neom SC
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W โ D โ L
3-4-3
Win Rate
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0
4.3%
0-1
5.4%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
1.4%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
3.8%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
2.9%
4-2
1.8%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.9%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.7%)
1-0(8.1%)
2-0(7.7%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals โ N=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Hilal Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Neom SC Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
38%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
16%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
35%
Home Win & Under 2.5
19%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
15%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Neom SC1
Al Hilal2
Recent Form
Al Hilal
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal2
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
Al Hilal1
Damac0
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
Neom SC
Neom SC2
Al Shabab1
Al Fateh2
Neom SC2
Neom SC1
Al Hazem1
Al Najma2
Neom SC1
Al Ittihad3
Neom SC4
Neom SC1
Al Fayha0
Neom SC2
Al Taawon2
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
Al Fayha1
Neom SC1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Al Hilal host Neom SC in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.
Al Hilal arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Neom SC are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Professional League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.19. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Our selection is 1 โ Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Neom SC been performing recently?
Neom SC have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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