LOST Tip LOST Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra
T

Torpedo Kutaisi

Home
W W W D D
5W 5D 0L → Steady
VS
1-2
G
Gagra
Away
W L D L L
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 28th May 2026
1
Backing Torpedo Kutaisi to win
Torpedo Kutaisi 50%
Draw 30%
Gagra 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 69% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra Competition: Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Torpedo Kutaisi to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
Draws
0
Gagra
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Torpedo Kutaisi won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Torpedo Kutaisi
Metric
Gagra
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-5-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
T0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 13.3%
1-1 11.3%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.3%) 2-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Torpedo Kutaisi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gagra Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Torpedo Kutaisi
Overall
6.5
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Gagra
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
17.10.25EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi2
03.08.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
24.04.25EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
01.03.25EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
27.11.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra0
22.09.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
24.05.24EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Gagra1
07.04.24EL1
Gagra0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
29.10.23EL1
Gagra1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Recent Form
Torpedo Kutaisi
24.05.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
W
20.05.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Torpedo Kutaisi4
W
15.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi2
Dila Gori1
W
10.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
05.05.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Rustavi1
D
01.05.26EL1
Spaeri1
Torpedo Kutaisi1
D
27.04.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi0
Torpedo Kutaisi3
W
21.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi6
Samgurali1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
D
Gagra
24.05.26EL1
Gagra2
Dila Gori0
W
20.05.26EL1
Iberia 19991
Gagra0
L
16.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Rustavi1
D
11.05.26EL1
Spaeri3
Gagra0
L
06.05.26EL1
Gagra1
Dinamo Batumi2
L
02.05.26EL1
Samgurali2
Gagra0
L
27.04.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
21.04.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Gagra1
W
17.04.26EL1
Gagra2
Torpedo Kutaisi2
D
07.04.26EL1
Dila Gori1
Gagra1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.45. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
Our selection is 1 — Torpedo Kutaisi to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Torpedo Kutaisi's current form?
Torpedo Kutaisi have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gagra been performing recently?
Gagra have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Torpedo Kutaisi lead with 9 wins versus Gagra's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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