LOST Tip LOST Poland W 0-2 France W
P

Poland W

Home
L L L D W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
F
France W
Away
D L W W D
4W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 5th June 2026
2
Backing France W to win
Poland W 20%
Draw 30%
France W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — France W to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals74% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Poland W vs France W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: 2 (France W to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (74%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Poland W
0
Draws
4
France W
4
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip France W won 4 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Poland W
Metric
France W
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-3-2
Win Rate
40%
44%
3.5
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
P0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 5.7%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.7%
0-5 0.7%
P1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
P2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
P3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
P4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.9%) 0-1(6.0%) 0-2(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Poland W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
France W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.3
France W
Overall
5.4
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.2
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland1
25.10.13FI
France W6
Poland0
24.08.11FI
France W2
Poland0
19.11.10FI
France W5
Poland0
Recent Form
Poland W
18.04.26WC
Ireland W1
Poland W0
L
14.04.26WC
Poland W2
Ireland W3
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
L
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Poland W3
Latvia W0
W
28.11.25FI
Poland W1
Slovenia W0
W
28.10.25FI
Wales W2
Poland W5
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
W
08.07.25EUR
Poland W0
Sweden W3
L
France W
18.04.26WC
France W1
Netherlands W1
D
14.04.26WC
Netherlands W2
France W1
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
W
03.03.26WC
Ireland W1
France W2
W
02.12.25UNL
Sweden W2
France W2
D
28.11.25UNL
France W2
Sweden W1
W
28.10.25UNL
France W2
Germany W2
D
24.10.25UNL
Germany W1
France W0
L
13.07.25EUR
Netherlands W2
France W5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Poland W host France W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend France W to win as the standout selection.

Poland W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

France W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 2L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Poland W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to France W's 4, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: france w to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro WCQ Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.20. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Poland W vs France W?
Our selection is 2 — France W to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Poland W's current form?
Poland W have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has France W been performing recently?
France W have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Poland W lead with 0 wins versus France W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
⚠️
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