LOST Tip LOST Kalju 1-2 Tammeka
K

Kalju

Home
D L W W L
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
1-2
T
Tammeka
Away
D L W W W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 17th June 2026
1
Backing Kalju to win
Kalju 50%
Draw 30%
Tammeka 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Kalju
2
Draws
0
Tammeka
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kalju won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kalju
Metric
Tammeka
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.3
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kalju Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tammeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kalju
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.7
Tammeka
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.03.26ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
02.11.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka1
03.08.25ML
Tammeka1
Kalju3
10.05.25ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
16.03.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka2
29.09.24ML
Tammeka2
Kalju3
27.07.24ML
Kalju3
Tammeka0
28.06.24ML
Tammeka1
Kalju1
03.05.24ML
Kalju4
Tammeka2
23.09.23ML
Kalju4
Tammeka1
Recent Form
Kalju
14.06.26ML
Kalju1
Paide1
D
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
L
20.05.26ML
Kalju1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
L
01.05.26ML
Narva0
Kalju3
W
26.04.26ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
22.04.26ML
Kalju7
Nomme Utd1
W
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
Tammeka
13.06.26ML
Tammeka0
Parnu JK Vaprus0
D
30.05.26ML
Tammeka0
Levadia1
L
15.05.26ML
Tammeka3
Nomme Utd1
W
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
W
01.05.26ML
Paide0
Tammeka1
W
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
L
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
L
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Paide4
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Kalju host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Kalju to win as the standout selection.

Kalju arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tammeka are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kalju, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kalju to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.34. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kalju vs Tammeka?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Kalju's current form?
Kalju have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tammeka been performing recently?
Tammeka have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kalju lead with 8 wins versus Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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