WON Tip WON Molodechno 1-4 Bate
M

Molodechno

Home
L L D W W
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-4
B
Bate
Away
D D D D W
1W 6D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 17th June 2026
2
Backing Bate to win
Molodechno 20%
Draw 30%
Bate 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Molodechno
0
Draws
9
Bate
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bate won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Molodechno
Metric
Bate
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-1-5
W — D — L
1-6-3
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.2%) 1-2(8.4%) 0-2(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Molodechno Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Bate Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Molodechno
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.7
Bate
Overall
2.8
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.08.25VL
BATE2
Molodechno1
05.04.25VL
Molodechno0
BATE1
11.02.23CF
BATE5
Molodechno0
02.08.03VL
Molodechno1
BATE4
15.05.03VL
BATE3
Molodechno2
25.10.01VL
Molodechno2
BATE1
19.10.01VL
BATE4
Molodechno0
30.06.01VL
BATE4
Molodechno3
17.06.01VL
Molodechno1
BATE3
30.07.99VL
BATE2
Molodechno1
Recent Form
Molodechno
13.06.26PL
Molodechno1
SKA-19384
L
07.06.26PL
Slutsk2
Molodechno1
L
01.06.26PL
Molodechno1
Din. Minsk 21
D
27.05.26CUP
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
W
23.05.26PL
Ostrovets2
Molodechno3
W
16.05.26PL
Molodechno1
FC Slonim0
W
08.05.26PL
BATE 22
Molodechno3
W
02.05.26PL
Molodechno0
Uni X Labs1
L
26.04.26PL
Soligorsk5
Molodechno0
L
20.04.26PL
FC Gomel 22
Molodechno0
L
Bate
12.06.26VL
Belshina1
BATE1
D
31.05.26VL
BATE1
Dnepr Mogilev1
D
24.05.26VL
Slavia Mozyr1
BATE1
D
20.05.26VL
BATE0
Din. Minsk0
D
16.05.26CUP
Din. Minsk1
BATE (pen 7-8)1
W
10.05.26VL
Naftan0
BATE0
D
03.05.26VL
BATE0
Dynamo Brest3
L
29.04.26CUP
BATE2
Slavia Mozyr0
W
24.04.26VL
FC Minsk1
BATE0
L
19.04.26VL
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Molodechno host Bate in Belarus Cup. We recommend Bate to win as the standout selection.

Molodechno arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bate are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 6D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Molodechno, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Bate's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bate to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belarus Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.42. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Molodechno vs Bate?
Our selection is 2 — Bate to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Molodechno's current form?
Molodechno have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bate been performing recently?
Bate have recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Molodechno lead with 1 wins versus Bate's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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