LOST Tip LOST Merani Martvili 0-2 Gori
M

Merani Martvili

Home
W L D W L
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
0-2
2:00 pm
Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava (Martvili)
G
Gori
Away
D L L L L
2W 2D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 22nd June 2026
1
Backing Merani Martvili to win
Merani Martvili 50%
Draw 30%
Gori 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 68% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Merani Martvili
2
Draws
0
Gori
6
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Merani Martvili won 4 of the last 6 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Merani Martvili
Metric
Gori
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
M0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 7.9%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
M1
1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
M2
2-0 11.9%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.8%) 2-0(11.9%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Merani Martvili Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gori Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Merani Martvili
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Gori
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26EL2
Gori0
Merani Martvili3
01.03.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Gori0
10.10.24LI3
Merani Martvili2
Gori1
19.04.24LI3
Gori1
Merani Martvili1
20.12.20EL2
Merani Martvili3
Gori1
16.12.20EL2
Gori0
Merani Martvili0
Recent Form
Merani Martvili
17.06.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Samtredia1
W
13.06.26EL2
Bolnisi2
Merani Martvili0
L
29.05.26EL2
Dusheti1
Merani Martvili1
D
24.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili1
Kolkheti 19130
W
20.05.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Merani Martvili0
L
16.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili0
Telavi0
D
10.05.26EL2
Odishi 19191
Merani Martvili2
W
06.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili0
Shturmi0
D
02.05.26EL2
Gori0
Merani Martvili3
W
26.04.26EL2
Samtredia1
Merani Martvili4
W
Gori
17.06.26EL2
Kolkheti 19131
Gori1
D
13.06.26EL2
Gori1
FC Gareji Sagarejo3
L
30.05.26EL2
Telavi1
Gori0
L
24.05.26EL2
Gori1
Odishi 19193
L
20.05.26EL2
Shturmi2
Gori0
L
16.05.26EL2
Gori0
Dusheti1
L
10.05.26EL2
Gori2
Samtredia1
W
06.05.26EL2
Bolnisi1
Gori1
D
02.05.26EL2
Gori0
Merani Martvili3
L
26.04.26EL2
Gori2
Kolkheti 19131
W
Merani Martvili (Home)
17.06.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Samtredia1
W
24.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili1
Kolkheti 19130
W
16.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili0
Telavi0
D
06.05.26EL2
Merani Martvili0
Shturmi0
D
22.04.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Bolnisi1
W
18.04.26EL2
Merani Martvili1
Dusheti1
D
03.04.26EL2
Merani Martvili1
FC Gareji Sagarejo0
W
11.03.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Odishi 19193
L
01.03.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Gori0
W
29.11.25EL2
Merani Martvili3
Iberia 1999 22
W
Gori (Away)
17.06.26EL2
Kolkheti 19131
Gori1
D
30.05.26EL2
Telavi1
Gori0
L
20.05.26EL2
Shturmi2
Gori0
L
06.05.26EL2
Bolnisi1
Gori1
D
22.04.26EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Gori0
L
07.04.26EL2
Odishi 19190
Gori0
D
15.03.26EL2
Dusheti1
Gori0
L
11.03.26EL2
Samtredia2
Gori2
D
01.03.26EL2
Merani Martvili2
Gori0
L
28.11.25LI3
Loco. Tbilisi 20
Gori2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Merani Martvili host Gori at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava (Martvili) in Georgia Crystalbet Liga 2. We recommend Merani Martvili to win as the standout selection.

Merani Martvili arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gori are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Merani Martvili, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Gori's 0, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: merani martvili to win at odds of 1.47 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Georgia Crystalbet Liga 2 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.47, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 2:00 pm over at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava (Martvili).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Merani Martvili vs Gori?
Our selection is 1 — Merani Martvili to win, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Merani Martvili's current form?
Merani Martvili have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gori been performing recently?
Gori have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Merani Martvili lead with 4 wins versus Gori's 0, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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