Strong Signal 71% Confidence
J

Jazz Pori

Home
D D L W W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
5:00 pm
Porin Stadion (Pori)
T
Tampere
Away
W W W W W
7W 1D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 25th June 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 67.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +3.9% Value detected
Kelly % 11.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals84% BTTS — No65% Tampere Clean Sheet89%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Jazz Pori vs Tampere Competition: Finland Ykkonen Date: Thursday, 25th June 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.49 Confidence: 71% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (84%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Tampere Clean Sheet (89%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jazz Pori
Metric
Tampere
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.4
20%
Clean Sheets
89%
5-1-4
W — D — L
7-1-1
Win Rate
50%
78%
2.9
Avg Goals
84%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
J0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 11.3%
0-2 11.0%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 3.5%
0-5 1.4%
J1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.1%
1-5 1.2%
J2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.6%
J3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
J4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.3%) 0-2(11.0%) 1-1(10.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip J=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jazz Pori
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
Tampere
Overall
8.1
Scoring
8.1
Defence
8.5
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Jazz Pori
12.06.26YKK
Inter Turku2
Jazz Pori1
D
06.06.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
VJS1
D
28.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
SalPa2
L
24.05.26YKK
OLS Oulu1
Jazz Pori2
W
16.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori2
Rovaniemi1
W
09.05.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia1
Jazz Pori2
W
02.05.26YKK
TPV0
Jazz Pori2
W
25.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla2
L
20.04.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Jazz Pori2
W
11.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa5
L
Tampere
11.06.26YKK
Tampere Utd3
OLS Oulu0
W
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
W
29.05.26YKK
TPV0
Tampere Utd3
W
22.05.26YKK
Tampere Utd1
JJK Jyvaskyla0
W
16.05.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Tampere Utd6
W
09.05.26YKK
Tampere Utd0
Keski-Uusimaa0
D
02.05.26YKK
Inter Turku 20
Tampere Utd2
W
29.04.26CUP
Narpes Kraft0
Tampere Utd6
W
24.04.26YKK
Tampere Utd0
VJS4
L
Jazz Pori (Home)
06.06.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
VJS1
D
28.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
SalPa2
L
16.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori2
Rovaniemi1
W
25.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla2
L
11.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa5
L
19.10.25YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa2
L
26.09.25YKK
Jazz Pori0
EPS2
L
12.09.25YKK
Jazz Pori6
Atlantis4
W
27.08.25YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla1
L
23.08.25YKK
Jazz Pori1
KPV Kokkola1
D
Tampere (Away)
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
W
29.05.26YKK
TPV0
Tampere Utd3
W
16.05.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Tampere Utd6
W
02.05.26YKK
Inter Turku 20
Tampere Utd2
W
29.04.26CUP
Narpes Kraft0
Tampere Utd6
W
15.04.26CUP
TPV0
Tampere Utd2
W
11.04.26YKK
SalPa2
Tampere Utd0
L
19.10.25YKK
JJK Jyvaskyla5
Tampere Utd0
L
28.09.25YKK
KuPS Akatemia2
Tampere Utd0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Jazz Pori host Tampere at Porin Stadion (Pori) in Finland Ykkonen. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Jazz Pori arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tampere are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 1L across 9 matches.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.49 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Finland Ykkonen match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.49, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Porin Stadion (Pori).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jazz Pori vs Tampere?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Jazz Pori's current form?
Jazz Pori have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tampere been performing recently?
Tampere have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game.
⚠️
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