Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
C

Curacao

Home
D L W L L
3W 3D 4L โ–ฒ Improving
VS
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9:00 pm
Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA)
I
Ivory Coast
Away
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L โ†’ Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Thursday, 25th June 2026
2
Backing Ivory Coast to win
Curacao 20%
Draw 30%
Ivory Coast 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 โ€” Ivory Coast to win
1.17
Over 1.5 Goals80%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Curacao vs Ivory Coast Competition: World Cup 2026 Date: Thursday, 25th June 2026 KO: 9:00 pm Pick: 2 (Ivory Coast to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Curacao
Metric
Ivory Coast
1.7
Goals For / Game
2
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-3-4
W โ€” D โ€” L
7-1-2
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
C0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 4.8%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.9%
C1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.2%
C2
2-0 3.3%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
C3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
C4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.6%) 0-1(7.6%) 0-2(7.4%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip C=Home goals โ†“   I=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Curacao Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Ivory Coast Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Curacao
Overall
3.9 โ–ฒ
Scoring
5.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
3.7 โ–ฒ
Ivory Coast
Overall
7.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
7.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Curacao
21.06.26WC
Ecuador0
Curacao0
D
14.06.26WC
Germany7
Curacao1
L
07.06.26FI
Curacao4
Aruba0
W
30.05.26FI
Scotland4
Curacao1
L
31.03.26FS
Australia5
Curacao1
L
27.03.26FS
China2
Curacao0
L
19.11.25WC
Jamaica0
Curacao0
D
14.11.25WC
Bermuda0
Curacao7
W
15.10.25WC
Curacao1
Trinidad & Tobago1
D
11.10.25WC
Curacao2
Jamaica0
W
Ivory Coast
20.06.26WC
Germany2
Ivory Coast1
L
15.06.26WC
Ivory Coast1
Ecuador0
W
09.06.26FI
Philadelphia Union II0
Ivory Coast2
W
04.06.26FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
W
31.03.26FI
Scotland0
Ivory Coast1
W
28.03.26FI
South Korea0
Ivory Coast4
W
10.01.26ACN
Egypt3
Ivory Coast2
L
06.01.26ACN
Ivory Coast3
Burkina Faso0
W
31.12.25ACN
Gabon2
Ivory Coast3
W
28.12.25ACN
Ivory Coast1
Cameroon1
D
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Curacao host Ivory Coast at Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA) in World Cup 2026. We recommend Ivory Coast to win as the standout selection.

Curacao arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ivory Coast are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: ivory coast to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this World Cup 2026 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.17, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 9:00 pm over at Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Curacao vs Ivory Coast?
Our selection is 2 โ€” Ivory Coast to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Curacao's current form?
Curacao have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ivory Coast been performing recently?
Ivory Coast have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
โš ๏ธ
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