I
IFK Skovde
Home
W
L
W
L
W
8W 0D 2L
→ Steady
VS
—
6:00 pm
L
Lidkoping
Away
L
L
L
W
L
2W 0D 8L
▲ Improving
IFK Skovde
50%
Draw
30%
Lidkoping
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-25.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — IFK Skovde to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
IFK Skovde vs Lidkoping
Competition: Sweden D2 Norra Gotaland
Date: Thursday, 25th June 2026
KO: 6:00 pm
Pick: 1 (IFK Skovde to win)
Odds: 1.35
Confidence: 49%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
1
IFK Skovde
4
Draws
4
Lidkoping
9
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
IFK Skovde won 1 of the last 9 meetings (4 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
IFK Skovde
Metric
Lidkoping
2.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.6
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-0-2
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
3.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
I0
0-0
2.9%
0-1
2.9%
0-2
1.4%
0-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
I1
1-0
7.3%
1-1
7.3%
1-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
I2
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
I3
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
4.0%
3-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
I4
4-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
I5
5-0
2.6%
5-1
2.6%
5-2
1.3%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(9.3%)
2-1(9.3%)
3-0(7.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
I=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
IFK Skovde Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Lidkoping Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Home Win & BTTS No
44%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
56%
Home Win & Under 2.5
24%
Draw & Over 2.5
0%
Draw & Under 2.5
0%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Lidkoping3
IFK Skovde3
Lidkoping0
IFK Skovde1
IFK Skovde1
Lidkoping1
Lidkoping0
IFK Skovde0
IFK Skovde1
Lidkoping1
Lidkoping2
IFK Skovde1
IFK Skovde1
Lidkoping4
Lidkoping7
IFK Skovde1
IFK Skovde0
Lidkoping5
Recent Form
IFK Skovde
Herrestads AIF1
IFK Skovde2
IFK Skovde0
Grebbestad4
Karlstad II0
IFK Skovde2
Skara1
IFK Skovde0
IFK Skovde2
Kumla1
IFK Skovde6
Vanersborgs IF2
Motala0
IFK Skovde4
Ahlafors IF2
IFK Skovde3
IFK Skovde2
Stenungsunds0
Tord0
IFK Skovde4
Lidkoping
Lidkoping1
Husqvarna2
Skara4
Lidkoping2
Lidkoping2
Skovde AIK3
Tord0
Lidkoping1
Lidkoping0
Karlstad II2
Stenungsunds6
Lidkoping0
Lidkoping1
Grebbestad3
Vanersborgs IF0
Lidkoping1
Lidkoping0
Motala3
Herrestads AIF3
Lidkoping1
IFK Skovde (Home)
IFK Skovde0
Grebbestad4
IFK Skovde2
Kumla1
IFK Skovde6
Vanersborgs IF2
IFK Skovde2
Stenungsunds0
IFK Skovde0
Husqvarna3
IFK Skovde1
Vanersborgs FK0
IFK Skovde0
Djurgarden8
IFK Skovde0
Brommapojkarna3
IFK Skovde1
Eskilsminne3
IFK Skovde1
Trollhattan4
Lidkoping (Away)
Skara4
Lidkoping2
Tord0
Lidkoping1
Stenungsunds6
Lidkoping0
Vanersborgs IF0
Lidkoping1
Herrestads AIF3
Lidkoping1
Vanersborgs FK2
Lidkoping1
Ahlafors IF2
Lidkoping2
IF Haga0
Lidkoping2
Skara2
Lidkoping0
Kongahalla1
Lidkoping1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 25th June 2026, IFK Skovde host Lidkoping in Sweden D2 Norra Gotaland. We recommend IFK Skovde to win as the standout selection.
IFK Skovde arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Lidkoping are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour IFK Skovde, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Lidkoping's 4, with 4 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ifk skovde to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Sweden D2 Norra Gotaland match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.35, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 6:00 pm over at the host venue.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for IFK Skovde vs Lidkoping?
Our selection is 1 — IFK Skovde to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is IFK Skovde's current form?
IFK Skovde have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lidkoping been performing recently?
Lidkoping have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
IFK Skovde lead with 1 wins versus Lidkoping's 4, with 4 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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