H
Helges
Home
L
L
L
L
L
1W 2D 7L
▼ Declining
VS
—
7:00 pm
S
Sunnersta AIF
Away
W
W
W
D
W
6W 3D 1L
▲ Improving
Helges
20%
Draw
30%
Sunnersta AIF
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-14.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Helges
0
Draws
1
Sunnersta AIF
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Sunnersta AIF won 1 of 1 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Helges
Metric
Sunnersta AIF
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.4
2
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
H0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
12.7%
0-3
9.3%
0-4
5.1%
0-5
2.3%
H1
1-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
1-3
7.0%
1-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
H2
2-0
1.5%
2-1
3.2%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
2-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
H3
3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
0.9%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.2%
H4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
H5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-2(12.7%)
0-1(11.5%)
1-2(9.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Helges Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Sunnersta AIF Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Home Win & BTTS No
5%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
35%
Away Win & BTTS No
28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
7%
Home Win & Under 2.5
4%
Draw & Over 2.5
16%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
38%
Away Win & Under 2.5
25%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Sunnersta AIF5
Helges0
Recent Form
Helges
Taby3
Helges0
Helges1
Korsnas3
Helges1
Kungsangen4
Gute1
Helges0
Helges1
Lidingo IFK2
Enskede2
Helges1
Helges2
Viggbyholms0
Falu2
Helges2
Helges0
IK Franke3
Bollstanas0
Helges0
Sunnersta AIF
Korsnas1
Sunnersta AIF4
Sunnersta AIF1
Falu0
Sunnersta AIF5
Gute0
Bollstanas1
Sunnersta AIF1
Sunnersta AIF4
Kungsangen1
Taby0
Sunnersta AIF0
Enskede1
Sunnersta AIF1
Sunnersta AIF0
Skiljebo1
Lidingo IFK1
Sunnersta AIF5
Sunnersta AIF3
IK Franke1
Helges (Home)
Helges1
Korsnas3
Helges1
Kungsangen4
Helges1
Lidingo IFK2
Helges2
Viggbyholms0
Helges0
IK Franke3
Helges0
Angby4
Helges0
Skiljebo4
Sunnersta AIF (Away)
Korsnas1
Sunnersta AIF4
Bollstanas1
Sunnersta AIF1
Taby0
Sunnersta AIF0
Enskede1
Sunnersta AIF1
Lidingo IFK1
Sunnersta AIF5
Viggbyholms2
Sunnersta AIF4
Angby1
Sunnersta AIF1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Helges host Sunnersta AIF in Sweden D2 Norra Svealand. We recommend Sunnersta AIF to win as the standout selection.
Helges arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Sunnersta AIF are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Helges, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Sunnersta AIF's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: sunnersta aif to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Sweden D2 Norra Svealand match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.31, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at the host venue.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Helges vs Sunnersta AIF?
Our selection is 2 — Sunnersta AIF to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Helges's current form?
Helges have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sunnersta AIF been performing recently?
Sunnersta AIF have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Helges lead with 0 wins versus Sunnersta AIF's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.